2024
This is the monthly update on the performance of, and the changes to, my Personal Tipster Portfolio for 2024.
Starting on Jan 1st with a betting bank of £1,000.
Dec’24: Profit: £3,925 Bank: £15,687
END-OF-MONTH UPDATE: Had an opportunity to take a 22% increase in bank – £2,000 profit – early on the 4th December – didn’t take it – I ran the profits.
Made a tidy profit of almost £4,000 in December.
FOR JAN 2025: More of the same please.
Resetting bank to £1,000 which sets initial staking as follows:
SVB Football: £1/pt (approx. £8/bet)
SVB Racing: £2/pt (approx. £8/bet)
Rocket Profit: £0.20/pt (approx. £2/bet)
Nov’24: Profit: £2,056 Bank: £8,989
7th NOV UPDATE: BANK HAS INCREASED BY 30% – NO MORE BETS BEING PLACED
Today the bank hit a new all-time high of £8,989.
This represents a 30% increase in the bank from previous month’s £6,933.
Based on previous months opportunities to “cash-out” early in those months I have decided, this month, to do just that.
The profit for November will be fixed at today’s figure of £8,989 as shown in graph in blue as Nov24*
However I will continue to track and record the performance of the portfolio until the end of the month to see how good or bad this decision has been.
END-OF-MONTH UPDATE: So that was a bit of a poor decision. Had I continued to bet the tips the bank would have reached £11,762.
SVB Racing Tips was the main contributor to a £4,829 profit for the month – a 43% ROI.
SVB Football Tips slightly underperformed with 15% ROI a bit down on its typical average of 20% ROI.
And Profit Rocket produced its average 28% ROI. However, that was from roughly half the number monthly tips. I’m wondering if there’s some kind of a change happening in the tip selection process here.
| SVB Football | SVB Racing | Profit Rovert | Total |
| 690.75 | 2,772.65 | 1,365.75 | £4,829.15 |
FOR DECEMBER:
Just more of the same please.
I’m basing new stakes on the lower bank when I stopped betting the tips and not the final figure of £11,762 it eventually reached.
SVB Football tips will be bet at £20/pt
SVB Racing tips will be bet at £20/pt.
Profit Rocket will be bet at £2/pt. . This is based on the lower than average number of tips published in Nov.
Oct’24: Profit: £3,861 Bank: £6,933
HACKUP(odds based) £4/pt
TriBTTS(trixies only)£6/pt
3rd OCT UPDATE: Bank hits an all-time high of £4,317
TriBBTS delivers a full trixie win profit of £1,275 profit.
This is a 40% increase on the previous balance of £3,071 and an 18% increase on the previous bank high in August of £3,637.
I was hoping for/expecting this big win from TriBTTS before I would make changes to the portfolio.
HACKUP continues his losing ways while SVB continues his winning ways.
From 4th Oct TriBTTS and HACKUP are dropped from the portfolio and I’m continuing with SVB both football AND racing tips (to replace HACKUP). Research is underway for the best additions to the portfolio.
Staking for SVB Football is £22/pt and for SVB Racing tips its also £22/pt.
7th OCT UPDATE: Bank hits new high of £5,840 thanks to SVB Racing tips
This takes me back to the question of not being greedy and accepting a 20% increase in bank and doing not more betting for the rest of the month.
The current October bank of £5,840 is equivalent to a 20% bank increase during September AND a further 20% increase to where we are today.
The conundrum AGAIN(!) is – do I pocket the profits and stop betting? For the past 2 months this is exactly what I should have done.
END-OF-MONTH UPDATE: A solid recovery this month with £3,861 profit bringing the bank to £6,933.
What happened with TriBTTS and HACKUP dropped this month?
TriBTTS Trixies-only produced 21% ROI versus 17.7% ROI for all tips.
| Month | TriBTTS | Tips | Win rate | Profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All tips | 120 | 37% | 372.41 units | 17.7% | |
| TRIXIES-only | 30 | 36% | 126.17 units | 21% |
HACKUP selective odds* delivered an 8.1% ROI versus a loss of -4.5% following all tips
| Month | HACKUP | Tips | Win rate | Profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All tips | 81 | 14% | -69.40 units | -4.5% | |
| Selective odds | 61 | 44% | 114.40 units | 8.1% |
*Selective odds = only bet Winner tips where advised odds are between 2.00 to 6.99 and only bet Each Ways tips below advised odds of 10.
FOR NOVEMBER:
SVB Tips both football and racing remain in portfolio. SVB does dabble in other sports – these tips are excluded.
The Profit Rocket joins the portfolio.
SVB Football tips will be bet at £15/pt
SVB Racing tips will be bet at £23/pt.
Profit Rocket will be bet at £1/pt.
Sep’24: Profit: -£566 Bank: £3,071
3rd SEPTEMBER UPDATE: Early profit is sitting at £812. That’s a 22% increase in the bank.
Time to kick-back for the rest of the month? Well, maybe.
If I was to do anything I’d
1. just take the SVB and HACKUP profits and stop following them
2. BUT keep following the small number of TriBTTS in anticipation of a return to producing an average ROI of around 25%
We’ll see how this approach would pan out.
6th SEPTEMBER UPDATE: £812 profit wiped out!
In only 3-days the £812 profit has gone. Let’s hope for a strong recovery for the rest of the month.
12th SEPTEMBER UPDATE: Back in the black again with £302 profit thanks to HACKUP.
15th SEPTEMBER UPDATE: Second opportunity this month to cash out with £778 profit which is over 20% increase in bank.
20th SEPTEMBER UPDATE: Back in the red again -£40. What a roller-coaster this month is turning out to be!
END-OF-MONTH UPDATE: Pretty disastrous month with the bank losing over £500 and lessons learned.
MISTAKE 1: I didn’t adjust stakes on TRiBTTS when the losses became apparent. I should have reduced stakes to limit damage to the bank.
MISTAKE 2: I should have taken profits at the highs on Sep 3 or Sep 15. This would have locked in a very respectable 20% increase in the bank.
It is of course possible the end-of-month profits could have been bigger than either of these highs but for example:
I estimated SVB to provide 75 tips for the month. At 5pts per tip and an average 17% ROI for the month the anticipated profit was 63 pts.
At 3rd Sep SVB actual profit was 39 points. In three days that’s over 60% of what was anticipated for the whole month.
FOR OCTOBER:
I’m going to be replacing HACKUP and TriBTTS but to start the month:
SVB: stays in – continuing as usual with football tips only at £11/pt
HACKUP: stays in – continuing with selective odds at £4/pt
TriBTTS: stays in – continuing with betting trixies only at £6/pt.
Aug’24: Profit: £431 Bank: £3,637
END OF MONTH ROUNDUP:
An opportunity to stop early in the month came on 10th August.
Profit was £730 which was a bank increase of 23% at that point.
The lower end-of-month profit of £430 gave a bank increase of 13%.
If I could manage to get a 20% increase at some point during each month and opt out at that point, the £1,000 betting bank would be £8,900 at the end of the year.
This is something worth considering.
FOR SEPTEMBER:
SVB: stays in – continuing as usual with football tips only at £13/pt
HACKUP: stays in – continuing with selective odds at £4/pt
TriBTTS: stays in – continuing with betting trixies only at £7/pt
Jul’24: Profit: £636 Bank: £3,206
2nd JULY UPDATE: Just made £560 after only two days and 4 tips with a nice trixie win from TriBTTS. I could stop now and take the rest of the month off and I’d be happy with a 20% increase in the bank.
END OF MONTH ROUNDUP:
| ROI | Profit | Notes | |
| SVB | 16% | £156 | Football only ROI of 16% compared to 6% ROI for all SVB tips – better |
| HACKUP | -7% | -£432 | All Hackup tips produced -12.8% ROI. Selective odds approach performed better |
| TriBTTS | 78% | £910 | All TriBBTS tips produced 58% ROI from 122 tips. Trixies only produced 78% ROI from 29 tips – better |
FOR AUGUST:
SVB: stays in – continuing as usual with football tips only at £8/pt
HACKUP: stays in – continuing with selective odds at £3/pt
TriBTTS: stays in – continuing with betting trixies only at £5/pt
Jun’24: Profit: £1,028 Bank: £2,570
END OF MONTH ROUNDUP:
SVB and Hackup made substantial profits. Footballer Tips for yet another month really underperformed.
£1,028 profit made in June. Hackup started the month poorly but turned things around on 20th with an 8/1 Eachway winner.
Selective-Odds HACKUP DID PAY OFF this month:
Being selective with Hackup tips (only bet Winner tips where advised odds are between 2.00 to 6.99 and only bet Each Ways tips below advised odds of 10) did pay off this month.
| Tips | WR | P/L | ROI | AvgOdds | |
| Portfolio | 74 | 46% | 204.98 | 23.43% | 5.14 |
| HACKUP | 110 | 29% | 246.48 | 18.9% | 5.38 |
The Portfolio profit looks less but its the ROI that is the important factor.
HACKUP placed 1,305 points in stakes to make 246 points profit – an ROI of 18.9%.
Portfolio placed 875 points to make 205 points – an ROI of 23.43%.
If Portfolio placed the same points as HACKUP i.e. 1,305 then the Portfolio profit would be 306 points which is just shy of 50% more profit than Hackup.
FOR JULY:
SVB: stays in – continuing as usual at £3/pt.
HACKUP: stays in – continuing with selective odds at £5/pt
Footballer Tips: dropped – sorry Footballer Tips but your fired. The recent months have disappointed and there are better opportunities elsewhere.
TriBTTS: new – recent find TriBTTS from Lulas (read review here) will be followed but selectively only betting the Trixies which present much better value than betting the individual tips – at £2/pt.
Revised stakes are based on improved bank, investing equally in each tipster and keeping daily stakes under 10% of available bank.
May’24: Profit: £68 Bank: £1,542
END OF MONTH ROUNDUP:
SVB Football Tips made £368 profit in May. Unfortunately Footballer Tips and Hackup managed to lose most of that leaving me just £68 profit for the month.
Selective-Odds HACKUP didn’t pay off:
Being selective with Hackup tips (only bet Winner tips where advised odds are between 2.00 to 6.99 and only bet Each Ways tips below advised odds of 10) didn’t pay off.
There were 9 “to win” tips advised at odds under 2.00 which made profit 11.27.
There were 9 Each-way tips advised at odds of 10 or over that made a profit of 39 pts at advised odds or 43 pts profit at BSP.
The real killer here was one of the each-way tips that I discarded was a race winner that netted 108 pts profit at advised odds or 133 pts profit at BSP (22May 18.00 Kempton Botas)
Here’s how my selective-odds approach compared to HACKUP’s full service for May.
| Tips | WR | P/L | ROI | AvgOdds | |
| Portfolio | 64 | 32% | -67.6 | -10.09% | 4.25 |
| HACKUP | 82 | 27% | -0.90 | -0.1% | 4.33 |
FOR JUNE: 75% of HACKUP tips lie in the selective odds range I’ve chosen. And that’s where all of the profit is coming from. So right now I’m sticking with my selective odds for HACKUP. (I might change my mind if I miss another big winner like Botas!)
The high number of tips in April from Footballer Tips was not an anomaly. He posted an average of 11 tips a day during May just like April. I need to adjust staking to assume this is the new trend.
SVB Tips had a very good month from the football tips – a 46% Win Rate and a 38% ROI.
Staking for June:
Football Tips: £2 / point equates to £15 per bet.
SVB Tips: £3 / point equates to £20 per bet.
Hackup: £3 / point equates to £30 per bet.
Apr’24: Profit: -£4 Bank: £1,474
8 APR UPDATE: Both tipsters on a downward trend. Loses so far this month £453. Bank just above starting point at £1,024. Major concern about Footballer Tips – less so with SVB.
Footballer Tips most recent 3 months looks as follows:
| Month ▾ | Tips | Win rate | Profit | ROI | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 32% | -145.60 units | -19.7% | 2.58 | |
| 119 | 35% | -168.10 units | -14.1% | 2.57 | |
| 111 | 35% | -161.60 units | -14.6% | 2.54 |
Win Rate of 32% continues to be less than what’s required to produce a profit. And 74 tips in 8 days is an average of 9 tips per day which is over twice the 4 tips/day I was anticipating. Looks like Footballer tips is losing money fast.
DECISION: I’m pausing Footballer Tips until further notice. I’m keeping betting SVB at current stakes.
14 APR UPDATE: Footballer Tips has recovered well over the past 10 days and I will resume following.
END OF MONTH UPDATE: Pausing Footballer Tips was a mistake. If I’d stuck with it I would have made a small profit. As it was I lost money for the month. SVB Tips made £192 profit from a 7.7% ROI on just the football tips. His average monthly ROI is around 20%.
My estimate of 4 tips a day from Footballer Tips was badly wrong – he published 350 tips for the month – that’s roughly 11 tips a day! For estimation purposes I’m treating this as an anomaly.
Bottom line – a relatively poor month.
FOR MAY: For those who have been following thebetinvestor you’ll have seen that racing tipster HACKUP has impressed me recently. I’ve decided to include him in my portfolio for May but I’m being selective on which tips I’ll bet. You can catch up on my decision making process from the following two posts HACKUP: 18% ROI at Betfair Starting Prices and HACKUP: selective betting makes 34% ROI
Staking for May:
Football Tips: £1 / point equates to £10 per bet.
SVB Tips: £2 / point equates to £10 per bet.
Hackup: £3 / point equates to £30 per bet.
Mar’24: Profit: £90 Bank: £1,478
The portfolio produced a small profit this month.
Footballer Tips left us with a £504 loss over the month. He’s now had 2 consecutive losing months – that’s a first. Until now any of his 4 losing months had always followed by a profitable month.
On the plus side, SVB-Tips delivered a 14.6% ROI to offset this loss with a profit of £594.
FOR APRIL:
I’m looking forward to Footballer Tips return to profitable ways next month and continued success from SVB Tips.
The number of tips from SVB rose significantly in February. I’m estimating 4 tips per day from each of the tipsters which works the stakes out £2/pt (£20/tip) for Footballer Tips and £4/pt (£20/tip) for SVB.
Since dropping Underdog Racing Tips any profit the portfolio has made has been small – primarily because football ROI’s are lower than racing ROIs. So I’ve been thinking to either add a further football tipster or a horse racing tipster. I’ll decide that during April.
Feb’24: Profit: £112 Bank: £1,388
An unusual poor month from Footballer Tips with a -14% ROI and a £323 loss.
However, SVB-Tips got back to his typical ROI range producing £435 profit from a 24% ROI.
Overall, a £112 profit for the month.
FOR MARCH:
I anticipate Footballer Tips will return to profitable ways next month.
I’m increasing the daily risk from the very conservative 5% of bank to 10% of bank.
And with the slight increase in bank this allows us to increase stakes by a small amount.
Stakes for Footballer Tips will go to £3 per point (£30/tip) and SVB to £5 per point (£25/tip).
Jan’24: Profit: £276 Bank: £1,276
Starting 2024 where we left off in 2023 continuing with tipsters Footballer Tips and SVB Tips (football only). They produced a combined profit of £14,000 over the 12 months of 2023.
N.B. Underdog Racing Tips has been dropped for 2024 due the continual struggle during 2023 to get the advised odds.
Based on the previous quarter, Footballer Tips is currently tipping at an average rate of 4 tips per day at 10 points per tip while SVB is 3 tips per day at 5 points per tip. This equates to 55 points staked daily. To limit the daily bet exposure to around 5% of bank and investing equally with both tipsters the stakes will be £1/pt for Footballer Tips and £2/pt on SVB Tips (football only tips – no horse racing tips)
UPDATE END OF MONTH:
Footballer Tips made a 23% ROI and £216 profit during January which is well above his average performance. SVB on the other hand had a good first half of the month but ended up under-performing producing only £60 profit from a 7.8% ROI.
FOR FEBRUARY:
The increase in bank and the slight drop in number of tips allows us to increase stakes by a small amount. Footballer Tips will go to £2 per point and SVB to £3 per point.