2022

This is the monthly update on the performance of, and the changes to, my Personal Tipster Portfolio for 2022.
Starting on Jan 1st with a betting bank of £1,000.

 

NOTE: The success of my personal portfolio over the past 12 months to February’22 took a betting bank from around £11,000 to £136,000 by adopting percentage-of-bank stakes. It showed the incredible benefit of compounding BUT its success created its own problem.

 

With a betting bank of £136,000 the physical bets had become too large to be placed at ordinary bookmakers and there wasn’t always enough liquidity at the exchanges to absorb them.

 

So, to show what could be achieved with a moderate betting bank and reasonable stakes I’ve decided to start each calendar year with a fresh betting bank of £1,000 and run it for 12 months.

 

TIPSTER PERFORMANCE

These graphs show the historical performance of the portfolio’s tipsters over different timeframes and include the current month.

Note: Graphs are built in real-time and depending on your connection may take some time to load.

CURRENT PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE

 

MONTH BANK Portfolio and staking  

Jul’22

In progress

FOOTBALLER TIPS £3/pt

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LEMONADO    £2/pt

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ZENITH         £2/pt

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SOCCERRAFA £4/pt

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Jun’22

£9,963
(+£576)

FOOTBALLER TIPS £2/pt

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LEMONADO    £1/pt

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ZENITH         £2/pt

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SOCCERRAFA £3/pt

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A mediorcre month’s profit. Lemonado produced a very low ROI this month and took over 270 tips to do it. Soccerrafa produced an even lower ROI but with only 72 tips at least saved some betting effort. Footballer Tips put in an acceptable performance while Zenith shone yet again with 23% ROI.

Tipster Tips Win Rate ROI
Footballer-Tips 193 39% 9.10%
Lemonado 272 49% 2.10%
Zenith 213 51% 23.40%
Soccerrafa 72 40% 1.70%

For Jul’22:
No change to the portfolio.
Tips/Day anticipated: Footballer Tips: 7 tips/day  Lemonado: 13 tips/day Zenith: 9 tips/day  Soccerrafa: 5 tips/day
Staking: Football Tips: £3/pt  Lemonado: £2/pt  Zenith: £2/pt  Soccerrafa: £4/pt

May’22

£9,387
(+£1,275)

FOOTBALLER TIPS £2/pt

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LEMONADO    £1/pt

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ZENITH         £1/pt

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SOCCERRAFA £2/pt

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Lemonado and Zenith produced strong profits this month. Soccerrafa kept his head above water but Footballer Tips lost us money with only his second losing month since he began.

Tipster Tips WInRate ROI
FootballerTips 241 35% -3.40%
Lemonado 370 51% 12.80%
Zenith 362 48% 20.60%
Soccerrafa 189 43% 5.80%

For June’22:
No change to the portfolio.
Tips/Day anticipated: Footballer Tips: 6 tips/day  Lemonado: 15 tips/day Zenith: 11 tips/day  Soccerrafa: 5 tips/day
Staking: Football Tips: £2/pt  Lemonado: £1/pt  Zenith: £2/pt  Soccerrafa: £3/pt

Apr’22

£8,112
(+£3,223)

FOOTBALLER TIPS £2/pt

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LEMONADO    £1/pt

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ZENITH         £1/pt

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SOCCERRAFA £2/pt

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All four tipsters delivered a profit in April with an overall 15% ROI and a further £3K added to the bank.
One small concern is the rise in the number of tips being published. In particular, Lemonado. Instead of around 150 tips a month his last 2 months have been 3 times that. I’m keeping this under review.

Tipster Tips WInRate ROI
FootballerTips 192 47% 23.70%
Lemonado 486 52% 8.40%
Zenith 252 47% 14.80%
Soccerrafa 188 52% 27.20%

For May’22:
Stake levels are adjusted to ensure no more than 10% of the betting bank is put at risk on a daily basis
Anticipated Tips/Day: Footballer Tips: 4 tips/day  Lemonado: 13 tips/day Zenith: 9 tips/day  Soccerrafa: 4 tips/day
Staking: Football Tips: £2/pt  Lemonado: £1/pt  Zenith: £1/pt  Soccerrafa: £2/pt

Note: Akka Master, dropped from the portfolio last month, has recovered and produced an ROI of 11.1% this month which is good to see. But, even better to see was that Soccerrafa, the replacement for Akka Master, outperformed this with an ROI of 27.2%.

Mar’22

£4,888
(+£2,106)

FOOTBALLER TIPS£2/pt

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LEMONADO    £3/pt

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ZENITH         £2/pt

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AKKA MASTER £3/pt

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Akka Master let us down this month with a big -17.30% ROI. But mainly thanks to Lemonado we came out with an overall profit of £2,106 to bring our bank up to £4,888

Tipster Tips WInRate ROI
FootballerTips 132 40% 2.30%
Lemonado 480 53% 12.90%
Zenith 365 46% 9.30%
Akka Master 95 24% -17.30%

For Apr’22:
I’ve decided to drop Akka Master in favour of Soccerrafa – I think there’s more profit and stability there.

Anticipated Tips/Day: Footballer Tips: 4 tips/day  Lemonado: 8 tips/day Zenith: 8 tips/day  Soccerrafa: 3 tips/day
Staking: Football Tips: £2/pt  Lemonado: £1/pt  Zenith: £1/pt  Soccerrafa: £3/pt

Feb’22

£2,782
(+£2,030)

FOOTBALLER TIPS£1/pt

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LEMONADO    £2/pt

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ZENITH         £1/pt

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AKKA MASTER £2/pt

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All tipsters made excellent profits this month to double the betting bank to just over £2,000.

Tipster Tips Win Rate ROI
Footballer Tips 141 47% 17.9%
Lemonado 206 60% 28.9%
Zenith 220 50% 20.4%
Akka Master 109 39% 13.5%

My decision to stick with these tipsters has paid off handsomely and you can read how I made that decision in Stick or Twist – knowing when to dump a tipster.

My estimates for the number of tips per day from Lemonado, Zenith and Akka Master were badly wrong. I estimated 1 tip/day from Lemonado – he published 6/day. Zenith published around twice as many as I’d estimated and Akka Master 50% more.

For Mar’22:
Anticipated Tips/Day: Football Tips: 4 tips/day  Lemonado: 3 tips/day Zenith: 5 tips/day  Akka Master: 3 tips/day
Staking: Football Tips: £2/pt  Lemonado: £3/pt  Zenith: £2/pt  Akka Master: £3/pt

Jan’22

£751
(-£249)

FOOTBALLER TIPS£1/pt

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LEMONADO    £2/pt

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ZENITH         £1/pt

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AKKA MASTER £2/pt

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Only Lemonado made a profit this month which was overwhelmed by the losses of the other three particularly since he only published 13 tips in the whole month. Take it on the chin and move on.

For Feb’22:
The stats for these tipsters suggest normal service will be resumed shortly so there are no reasons to change the portfolio just now.
The overall daily stakes will reduce based on the reduced bank and the ratio of stakes between tipsters will alter based on revised expected tips per day.
Staking the same total points on each tipster per day and keeping the overall daily stakes under 10% of the available bank gives the following staking profile:
Football Tips: £1/pt  Lemonado: £2/pt  Zenith: £1/pt  Akka Master: £2/pt

DEC’21

 

£1,000

For Jan’22:
Anticipated Tips/Day: Football Tips: 5 tips/day  Lemonado: 2 tips/day Zenith: 5 tips/day  Akka Master: 2 tips/day
Staking: Football Tips: £1/pt  Lemonado: £2/pt  Zenith: £1/pt  Akka Master: £2/pt