2022 : £17,500 PROFIT

This is the monthly update on the performance of, and the changes to, my Personal Tipster Portfolio for 2022.
Starting on Jan 1st with a betting bank of £1,000 this portfolio produced £17,500 profit over the 12 months.

 

CURRENT PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE

 

MONTH BANK Portfolio and staking  

Dec’22

£18,539
(+£2,695)

FOOTBALLER TIPS £5/pt

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Underdog Racing £5/pt

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End-of-Month Update:
We ended the month with a very solid £2,700 profit, £2,300 of which came from Underdog Racing’s 34% ROI.End-of-Year Update:
We had 8 different tipsters over the year but never had more than 4 tipsters at any one time in the portfolio.
There were several changes during the 12 months but Footballer Tips the only tipster to be retained throughout.
There was only one losing month early on in February where we lost 25% of the initial £1,000 betting bank.

Bottom Line : We started with a £1,000 betting bank and turned it into £18,500 – I’m pretty pleased with that.

Nov’22

£15,844
(+£193)

FOOTBALLER TIPS £4/pt

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SmallFieldPunting £25/pt

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Underdog Racing £2/pt

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14Nov22 UPDATE: I am stopping SmallFieldPunting for the remainder of the month as he continues on a losing streak.

End-of-Month Update:
We ended the month with a very small profit thanks to Footballer Tips.
SmallFieldPunting disappointed in a big way. Fortunately I cut my losses. I would have lost twice as much had i persevered with him to the end of the month .
Underdog Racing also failed to deliver and produced a small monthly loss.

Tipster Tips WInRate ROI
Footballer Tips 211 46% 11.5%
SmallFieldPunting 20 5% -62.5%
Underdog Racing Tips 128 4% -3.4%

For Dec’22:
Continuing with Footballer Tips at £5/pt and Underdog Racing at £5/pt.

Oct’22

£15,651
(+£304)

FOOTBALLER TIPS £4/pt

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SmallFieldPunting £25/pt

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Underdog Racing £2/pt

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9Oct22 UPDATE: Nine days into the new month and the betting bank has suffered a 4.5% fall -£700. All tipsters have posted a loss so far this month.
(It did however look much worse before I corrected errors in my tracking spreadsheet – so there’s a little bit of a silver lining there.)
SmallFieldPunter has only managed a 7% Strike Rate instead of the average 15% and Underdog’s bet win rate is 16% compared with his typical 24% and has yet to have a race winner – his Stike Rate so far in October is 0% compared with a 6% average.
No need to alter anything just yet. However, SmallFieldPunting is on a current losing streak of 13 bets in a row. If this isn’t turned round by mid-month i.e. by the end of next week, I might reduce the £/pt staking.
19Oct22 UPDATE: Bank has recovered and is on an upward trajectory.
Footballer Tips and Underdog Racing have bounced back into profit BUT SmallFieldPunting is still having a bad month.
SmallFieldPunting’s Win Rate has been abysmal this month. The Estimated Longest Losing Run for this month had been 28. He is currently on a run of 37 losing tips (disregarding two void tips) and is losing money.
Had the portfolio not recovered as it has done I would definitely reduce the stake levels for this tipster but I’m going to hold my nerve, trust the statistics and keep the staking level unchanged.
End-of-Month Update:
SmallFieldPunting never recovered in the month.
Underdog Racing Tips barely managed a 3% WIn Rate on his 88 tips but still managed a great 27% ROI. He also has a non-winning streak of 14 losing/void tips.
Footballer Tips just continued his merry winning ways.

Tipster Tips WInRate ROI
Footballer Tips 244 43% 9%
SmallFieldPunting 48 6% -4%
Underdog Racing Tips 88 3% 27%

For Nov’22:
Not making any changes to portfolio or staking for November – I expect SmallFieldPunting to reverse the losses of October.

Sep’22

£15,347
(+£1,888)

FOOTBALLER TIPS £4/pt

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LEMONADO     £2/pt

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ZENITH         £3/pt

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Footballer Tips :  Continues to perform nicely with a 12% ROI.
Lemonado and Zenith : Finished the month on 12% – 13% ROI which is great – unfortunately there’s a BUT coming … and that’s about the very high number of tips and the difficulty of getting the advised odds. The high number of tips means a lot of time – too much – spent tracking and placing bets. And the advised odds seem to disappear all to quickly so you’re left with reduced profits.

Tipster Tips WInRate ROI
Footballer Tips 242 43% 12%
Lemonado 508 53% 12%
Zenith 321 47% 13%

This month then will see a change in tack.
I’m sticking with Footballer Tips but I’m dropping Lemonado and Zenith.
I’m moving into the Horse Racing arena with Smallfieldpunting and UNDERDOG Racing Tips to reduce the number of tips and effort dramatically and perhaps increase the ROI.
For Oct’22:
Because of the longer losing runs of Smallfield and Underdog I’m keeping staking low on both these tipsters for this starting month. Total stakes per day for the portfolio will be about 2.5% of bank.
From SmallField Punting’s full analysis report I’m anticipating at least one run of 28 losing tips
From Underdog Racing Tip’s full analysis report I’m anticipating at least one run of 21 losing tips

Staking: Football Tips: £4/pt  Smallfieldpunting: £25/pt  Underdog Racing Tips: £2/pt

Aug’22

£13,459
(+£3,134)

FOOTBALLER TIPS £3/pt

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LEMONADO    £2/pt

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ZENITH         £3/pt

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ARC RATINGS         £10/pt

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Footballer Tips :  Expectancy figures for Footballer Tips paid off –  a profitable two-month period with 312 units profit.
Lemonado : Finished the month on 12% ROI and 624 units profit.
Zenith : Had similar results with 13% ROI and 429 units profit.
ARC Ratings : New to the portfolio ARC Ratings finished the month with an outstanding 41.9% ROI and 43 units profit. Unfortunately he has now decided to move to Blogabet. So I’ll have to find a way of picking up the threads from there.
Soccerrafa : who got dropped from the portfolio last month managed only 1% ROI from 229 tips – confirming my suspicion of a continuing flatline performance.

Tipster Tips WInRate ROI
Footballer-Tips 242 43.00% 12.90%
Lemonado 508 53.00% 12.30%
Zenith 321 47.00% 13.40%
ARC-Ratings 53 8.00% 41.90%

For Sep’22:
Staking: Football Tips: £4/pt  Lemonado: £2/pt  Zenith: £3/pt

Jul’22

£10,325
(+£362)

FOOTBALLER TIPS £3/pt

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LEMONADO    £2/pt

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ZENITH         £2/pt

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SOCCERRAFA £4/pt

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A poorer month than June with Lemonado and Zenith providing the lions share of the profits.
Footballer Tips had another losing month which is a slight concern. However his 2-month expectancy is 100% i.e. every 2-month period has been profitable, so for now I’m sticking with him. But that could change if August doesn’t show a significant improvement.
Soccerrafa profits looks to have flat-lined over the last 3 months and I’m swapping him out for free tipster ARC Ratings who has had 10 profitable months from 10 and looks to be going from strength to strength on an ROI of 25%.

Tipster Tips WInRate ROI
FootballerTips 208 38% -2.60%
Lemonado 501 50% 6.20%
Zenith 223 45% 8.60%
Soccerrafa 276 39% 0.30%

For Aug’22:
Soccerrafa out – ARC Ratings in.
Tips/Day anticipated: Footballer Tips: 7 tips/day  Lemonado: 13 tips/day Zenith: 9 tips/day  ARC Ratings: 2 tips/day
Staking: Football Tips: £3/pt  Lemonado: £2/pt  Zenith: £3/pt  ARC Ratings: £10/pt

Jun’22

£9,963
(+£576)

FOOTBALLER TIPS £2/pt

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LEMONADO    £1/pt

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ZENITH         £2/pt

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SOCCERRAFA £3/pt

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A mediorcre month’s profit. Lemonado produced a very low ROI this month and took over 270 tips to do it. Soccerrafa produced an even lower ROI but with only 72 tips at least saved some betting effort. Footballer Tips put in an acceptable performance while Zenith shone yet again with 23% ROI.

Tipster Tips Win Rate ROI
Footballer-Tips 193 39% 9.10%
Lemonado 272 49% 2.10%
Zenith 213 51% 23.40%
Soccerrafa 72 40% 1.70%

For Jul’22:
No change to the portfolio.
Tips/Day anticipated: Footballer Tips: 7 tips/day  Lemonado: 13 tips/day Zenith: 9 tips/day  Soccerrafa: 5 tips/day
Staking: Football Tips: £3/pt  Lemonado: £2/pt  Zenith: £2/pt  Soccerrafa: £4/pt

May’22

£9,387
(+£1,275)

FOOTBALLER TIPS £2/pt

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LEMONADO    £1/pt

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ZENITH         £1/pt

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SOCCERRAFA £2/pt

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Lemonado and Zenith produced strong profits this month. Soccerrafa kept his head above water but Footballer Tips lost us money with only his second losing month since he began.

Tipster Tips WInRate ROI
FootballerTips 241 35% -3.40%
Lemonado 370 51% 12.80%
Zenith 362 48% 20.60%
Soccerrafa 189 43% 5.80%

For June’22:
No change to the portfolio.
Tips/Day anticipated: Footballer Tips: 6 tips/day  Lemonado: 15 tips/day Zenith: 11 tips/day  Soccerrafa: 5 tips/day
Staking: Football Tips: £2/pt  Lemonado: £1/pt  Zenith: £2/pt  Soccerrafa: £3/pt

Apr’22

£8,112
(+£3,223)

FOOTBALLER TIPS £2/pt

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LEMONADO    £1/pt

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ZENITH         £1/pt

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SOCCERRAFA £2/pt

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All four tipsters delivered a profit in April with an overall 15% ROI and a further £3K added to the bank.
One small concern is the rise in the number of tips being published. In particular, Lemonado. Instead of around 150 tips a month his last 2 months have been 3 times that. I’m keeping this under review.

Tipster Tips WInRate ROI
FootballerTips 192 47% 23.70%
Lemonado 486 52% 8.40%
Zenith 252 47% 14.80%
Soccerrafa 188 52% 27.20%

For May’22:
Stake levels are adjusted to ensure no more than 10% of the betting bank is put at risk on a daily basis
Anticipated Tips/Day: Footballer Tips: 4 tips/day  Lemonado: 13 tips/day Zenith: 9 tips/day  Soccerrafa: 4 tips/day
Staking: Football Tips: £2/pt  Lemonado: £1/pt  Zenith: £1/pt  Soccerrafa: £2/pt

Note: Akka Master, dropped from the portfolio last month, has recovered and produced an ROI of 11.1% this month which is good to see. But, even better to see was that Soccerrafa, the replacement for Akka Master, outperformed this with an ROI of 27.2%.

Mar’22

£4,888
(+£2,106)

FOOTBALLER TIPS£2/pt

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LEMONADO    £3/pt

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ZENITH         £2/pt

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AKKA MASTER £3/pt

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Akka Master let us down this month with a big -17.30% ROI. But mainly thanks to Lemonado we came out with an overall profit of £2,106 to bring our bank up to £4,888

Tipster Tips WInRate ROI
FootballerTips 132 40% 2.30%
Lemonado 480 53% 12.90%
Zenith 365 46% 9.30%
Akka Master 95 24% -17.30%

For Apr’22:
I’ve decided to drop Akka Master in favour of Soccerrafa – I think there’s more profit and stability there.

Anticipated Tips/Day: Footballer Tips: 4 tips/day  Lemonado: 8 tips/day Zenith: 8 tips/day  Soccerrafa: 3 tips/day
Staking: Football Tips: £2/pt  Lemonado: £1/pt  Zenith: £1/pt  Soccerrafa: £3/pt

Feb’22

£2,782
(+£2,030)

FOOTBALLER TIPS£1/pt

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LEMONADO    £2/pt

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ZENITH         £1/pt

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AKKA MASTER £2/pt

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All tipsters made excellent profits this month to double the betting bank to just over £2,000.

Tipster Tips Win Rate ROI
Footballer Tips 141 47% 17.9%
Lemonado 206 60% 28.9%
Zenith 220 50% 20.4%
Akka Master 109 39% 13.5%

My decision to stick with these tipsters has paid off handsomely and you can read how I made that decision in Stick or Twist – knowing when to dump a tipster.

My estimates for the number of tips per day from Lemonado, Zenith and Akka Master were badly wrong. I estimated 1 tip/day from Lemonado – he published 6/day. Zenith published around twice as many as I’d estimated and Akka Master 50% more.

For Mar’22:
Anticipated Tips/Day: Football Tips: 4 tips/day  Lemonado: 3 tips/day Zenith: 5 tips/day  Akka Master: 3 tips/day
Staking: Football Tips: £2/pt  Lemonado: £3/pt  Zenith: £2/pt  Akka Master: £3/pt

Jan’22

£751
(-£249)

FOOTBALLER TIPS£1/pt

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LEMONADO    £2/pt

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ZENITH         £1/pt

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AKKA MASTER £2/pt

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Only Lemonado made a profit this month which was overwhelmed by the losses of the other three particularly since he only published 13 tips in the whole month. Take it on the chin and move on.

For Feb’22:
The stats for these tipsters suggest normal service will be resumed shortly so there are no reasons to change the portfolio just now.
The overall daily stakes will reduce based on the reduced bank and the ratio of stakes between tipsters will alter based on revised expected tips per day.
Staking the same total points on each tipster per day and keeping the overall daily stakes under 10% of the available bank gives the following staking profile:
Football Tips: £1/pt  Lemonado: £2/pt  Zenith: £1/pt  Akka Master: £2/pt

DEC’21

 

£1,000

For Jan’22:
Anticipated Tips/Day: Football Tips: 5 tips/day  Lemonado: 2 tips/day Zenith: 5 tips/day  Akka Master: 2 tips/day
Staking: Football Tips: £1/pt  Lemonado: £2/pt  Zenith: £1/pt  Akka Master: £2/pt