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The Execution Gap: Why You Lose Following Winning Tipsters

Your Tipster Is Winning. You’re Losing. Here’s Why. You found a tipster with a proven 17% ROI. You follow every tip. And yet, your account tells a different story. They are winning.You are not. This isn’t bad luck. It’s not variance. It’s not timing. It’s a structural drain happening on every single bet. It has … Read more

How to Estimate Your Longest Losing Sequence

Estimated Longest Losing Run Ready Reckoner Example 1: During the next 100 bets from a 50% WR tipster the longest losing run is estimated to be = 7. Example 2: Over the next 1,500 bets from a 30% WR tipster the ELLR = 21. Longest Losing Runs Knowing your likely longest losing run lets you: … Read more

Evaluating Sports Tipsters: A KPI Data-driven Approach

Choosing the right sports tipster can significantly influence your betting success. With many tipster platforms available out there each with many tipsters available, it’s crucial to assess potential tipsters based on key performance indicators (KPIs) to ensure you make an informed decision. This guide outlines some of the essential metrics for evaluating sports tipsters, helping … Read more

Tipster Selection: Comparing ROI and ROC for Sports Betting

Tipster Selection: Comparing ROI and ROC for Sports Betting

The process of selecting a sports tipster is both thrilling and challenging. In this article, we’ll explore two critical metrics, Return on Investment (ROI) and Return on Capital (ROC). Both ROI (Return On Investment) and ROC (Return On Capital) are ratios related to profit. They measure how well a tipster or a betting strategy generates … Read more

Tipster Selection: Risk, Losing Runs and Maximum Drawdowns

Tipster Selection: Risk, Losing Runs and Maximum Drawdowns

Selecting a tipster to follow can be both exciting and daunting. The promise of potential gains is alluring, but understanding and managing the associated risks are vital. Two key metrics used to evaluating a tipster’s performance and risk management are: estimated longest losing run (ELLR) and maximum historic drawdown (MDD) So let’s explore and compare … Read more

Explaining the technical indicators

The criteria used here to assess a tipster address four key questions: How much profit am I hoping to make? How much will it cost me? How risky is it? How much effort will I need to put in? Ideally, the answer is “making lots of profit starting with very little money at low risk … Read more

Tipsters: Can you trust them?

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Tipsters or Tricksters? Many betting tipster services promise amazing results. Find out how to tell the good from the bad and the downright ugly.

Kelly Criterion

Recently I’ve been researching different Staking Plans to see if I can improve the profits from the Over 2.5 goals system. One thing that seems to be acquired wisdom is that if your system or method can’t deliver a profit using level stakes then forget about any other type of staking plans. I’m hoping my … Read more

Understanding the Importance of a Betting Bank

A Betting Bank is one of the foundations of successful betting If you are serious about making money through betting, treating it like a business is essential. A Betting Bank serves as the foundation for disciplined and professional betting practices. It is a specific amount of money set aside solely for betting purposes, distinct from your personal … Read more