Report Date: October 11, 2025
Data Period Covered: June 2019 – September 2025
Last Updated: October 11, 2025
NOTE: All probability and likelihood figures presented in this report are based on historical outcomes and past performance. They reflect tendencies observed over time rather than certainties or future guarantees
Introduction
Thebanker is a long-established horse racing tipster with a focus on race-winner markets. Delivering about 2 tips a day, each with an average stake of 5 points, the strategy is selective and disciplined, targeting strong-value runners at average odds of 10. Over six years of data reveal this to be a steady, high-quality service with impressive long-term consistency, underpinned by robust statistical confidence and well-controlled risk exposure.
Key Takeaways
- Roughly 2 tips per day, each staked at 5 points
- Win rate of 16% over the last 3 months
- Overall ROI of 31%
- 54 profitable months out of 74 total
- 73% chance of profit in a given month, average profit £336 vs. average loss -£146
- 90% chance of profit over any 3-month period, with average £680 profit
- P-Value of 0.00000 shows extremely strong reliability in performance
Key Performance Statistics
The metrics represent a well-balanced performer — consistent profitability, strong risk-to-reward profile, and reliability across multiple years. A Sharpe Ratio above 2 and top-tier confidence levels confirm it as a viable long-term investment option for those who prefer steady growth.
- ROI: 31%
- Tip Win Rate: 16%
- Profitable Months: 73%
- Sharpe Ratio: 2.08
Recent Form & ROI Breakdown
Performance in recent periods underscores continued profitability and long-term consistency, with ROI comfortably above the 30% mark even in multi-year tracking.
- 3-month ROI: 37% — Profit £746
- 6-month ROI: 34% — Profit £1,324
- 12-month ROI: 35% — Profit £2,617
- 2-year ROI: 36% — Profit £5,410
- 3-year ROI: 33% — Profit £7,029
- 4-year ROI: 37% — Profit £10,404
THEBANKER BANK GROWTH
Bank growth changes over time with color-coded data points
Profit Probability
Probability ratios clearly indicate sustained advantage over time. Investors joining this tipster are more likely than not to be profitable within even the first month, with diminishing variance the longer the holding period extends.
- 1-month: 73% profit probability, avg. profit £336, avg. loss -£146, profit factor 2.30
- 2-month: 83% profit probability, avg. profit £510, avg. loss -£150, profit factor 3.40
- 3-month: 90% profit probability, avg. profit £680, avg. loss -£139, profit factor 4.89
ELLR (Estimated Longest Losing Run)
Thebanker has a projected longest losing run of around 25 tips in a month and 31 over three months — entirely typical for a tipster in win-only horse racing markets and well within safe levels given the modest staking and recommended bank.
- 1-month losing run: 25 tips — 125 points (~£1,250 loss at £10/point)
- 3-month losing run: 31 tips — 155 points (~£1,550 loss at £10/point)
With a 350-point starting bank, such sequences remain financially sustainable and well-protected against risk of full-bank drawdown.
Recommendation
This is a mature, tested service best suited to investors who prefer a slower but steady pace of betting activity. Thebanker has proven to deliver reliable annual growth regardless of market variation, boasting a 31%+ ROI and more than 70% profitable months. A starting bank of 350 points offers sufficient cover, and investors can confidently expect roughly three profitable months in every four. The service performs particularly well for mid- to long-term investors seeking cumulative, consistent capital growth.
Staking Plan
Given the low staking level and manageable losing sequences, a fixed flat stake approach of 5 points per bet is ideal. This structure preserves the service’s risk discipline while ensuring scalable returns. The recommended bankroll of 350 points provides ample coverage to withstand even the longest expected downswings. For more advanced investors, a gradual stake increase of 2–3% per 10% growth in bank size can enhance compounding returns without appreciably increasing risk exposure. Maximizing long-term gain depends on maintaining consistent stakes and allowing the high ROI and low variance to deliver steady compounding over time.