Report Date: December 03, 2025
Data Period Covered: April 2023 – November 2025
Last Updated: December 03, 2025
NOTE: All probability and likelihood figures presented in this report are based on historical outcomes and past performance. They reflect tendencies observed over time rather than certainties or future guarantees
Introduction
Tippysystems focuses primarily on horse racing (76%) with some multiples (24%), targeting each way (53%) and race winner (47%) markets. The strategy leverages high average odds of 33.01 across about 5 tips per day with low average stakes of 1.39 points, aiming for substantial returns in volatile, high-reward scenarios. This profile suits bettors comfortable with variance for potential high monthly profits averaging £455.
Overview Summary: These stats show solid overall ROI but low profit consistency (43% monthly probability, only 13/30 profitable months) and moderate Sharpe Ratio with low confidence, rating as average performance—viable for risk-tolerant users but not excellent due to uncertainty.
Key Takeaways
- Approximately 5 tips per day with an average stake of 1.39 points
- Tip win rate over the last 3 months is 27%
- Overall ROI stands at 17.06%
- 13 profitable months out of 30 total
- 43% likelihood of profit over 1 month (average profit £1,790, loss -£549), dropping to 41% over 2 months (profit £3,011, loss -£742) and 32% over 3 months (profit £4,777, loss -£893)
- P-value of 0.03111 signals statistically significant results, unlikely due to random chance alone
Tippysystems rates as an average investment.
This assessment balances its strong 17% overall ROI (meeting horse racing benchmarks of 10-30% for solid performance ) and impressive recent form (112% ROI over last 3 months, £10,360 profit [query data]) against notable weaknesses like low 43% monthly profit probability, only 13/30 profitable months, and a moderate Sharpe Ratio of 0.80 with low confidence (0.339) indicating uncertainty in risk-adjusted returns.
The p-value of 0.03 confirms statistical significance beyond chance, but inconsistent consistency and declining multi-month probabilities (41% at 2 months, 32% at 3) prevent a higher “good” rating, making it suitable mainly for variance-tolerant bettors.
Manageable ELLR (up to 20 tips) and low recommended bank (200 points) add appeal, yet overall metrics align with “acceptable” rather than elite status.
Key Performance Statistics
| Statistic | Value |
|---|---|
| Overall ROI | 17.06% |
| Tip Win Rate (last 3 months) | 27% |
| Percentage Profitable Months | 43% |
| Sharpe Ratio (Performance Score) | 0.80 |
| Monthly Sharpe Ratio | 0.23 |
The Sharpe Ratio of 0.80 indicates moderate risk-adjusted returns with low confidence (0.339), making it acceptable but uncertain for long-term reliance.
Recent Form & ROI Breakdown
Last 3 full months ROI: 112% with profit £10,360
Last 6 full months ROI: 70% with profit £16,956
Last 12 full months ROI: 30% with profit £14,715
Last 2 years ROI: 10% with profit £11,281
Recent short-term periods show excellent momentum, though longer-term consistency lags.
Overview Summary: Strong recent profits contrast with historical variability, rating recent form as good but overall as average due to mixed monthly results.
Profit Probability
1-month: 43% probability, average profit £1,790, average loss -£549 (Profit Factor 3.26)
2-month: 41% probability, average profit £3,011, average loss -£742 (Profit Factor 4.06)
3-month: 32% probability, average profit £4,777, average loss -£893 (Profit Factor 5.35)
Profit factors improve over time despite lower probabilities, highlighting potential for larger wins when successful.
ELLR (Estimated Longest Losing Run)
1 month (152 tips): ELLR of 17 tips, equating to about 11% of monthly volume or roughly 3-4 days at 5 tips/day, with losses scaled to low stakes
2 months (304 tips): ELLR of 19 tips, around 6% of period
3 months (456 tips): ELLR of 20 tips, about 4% of period
These manageable streaks (under 20 tips) suit smaller bankrolls, with losses contained by fractional staking, rating drawdown risk as low to average.
Recommendation
<a href=”https://tipstrr.com/tipster/tippysystems?via=betinvest”>Tippysystems</a> suits experienced horse racing bettors tolerant of inconsistency and high-odds variance, needing a 200-point starting bankroll. With only 43% first-month profit likelihood amid recent strong form, it’s a moderate investment—attractive for high-reward seekers but risky for conservative players due to low monthly win rate and confidence levels.
Staking Plan
Maintain fractional flat stakes near 1.39 points per bet to match the tipster’s low average and cover ELLR up to 20 tips without excessive drawdown on a 200-point bank. Implement risk controls like pausing after 15 consecutive losses or capping total monthly exposure at 50% of bankroll. This plan fits the moderate Sharpe and recent high-ROI bursts by preserving capital during inevitable streaks while capitalizing on big wins from 33.01 average odds.
