Report Date: December 03, 2025
Data Period Covered: April 2023 – November 2025
Last Updated: December 03, 2025
NOTE: All probability and likelihood figures presented in this report are based on historical outcomes and past performance. They reflect tendencies observed over time rather than certainties or future guarantees
Introduction
CA Bets came top of Tipstrr’s November’s Best Horse Racing Tipsters (2025). They are a horse racing tipster specializing exclusively in race winner markets. Their strategy focuses on delivering an average of about four tips daily, applying consistent 10-point stakes per selection. This tipster targets long-odds selections, reflected in the average odds of 9.17, and focuses on maximizing return on investment through selective betting on the winners in this high-variance market.
Key Takeaways
- Approximately 4 tips per day with an average stake of 10 points
- Tip win rate over the last 3 months is 15%
- Overall return on investment (ROI) stands at 17.65%
- 12 profitable months out of 16 in total
- 75% likelihood of making a profit in a 1-month period, increasing to 80% over 2 months and 79% over 3 months, with average profits ranging from £354 to £734 depending on duration
- P-value of 0.00340 indicating the results are statistically significant and unlikely to be due to chance
CA Bets rates as a very good investment opportunity on the scale of very poor, poor, average, good, very good. This rating reflects its outstanding 17.65% overall ROI—well above the 10-15% solid benchmark and approaching elite 20%+ levels for horse racing tipsters—supported by a 55% ROI and £1,891 profit over the last 3 months. Key strengths include 12/16 profitable months (75%), high profit probabilities (75% at 1 month with £354 avg. profit/-£87 loss, 80% at 2 months), and an excellent Sharpe Ratio of 2.30 with strong confidence (0.967), indicating superior risk-adjusted returns.
The p-value of 0.0034 confirms high statistical significance, far beyond chance, while manageable ELLR (31-38 tips) fits an 800-point bankroll, balancing high-odds (9.17 avg.) win bets at 4 tips/day with 15-20% strike rates. Recent form shows consistency (e.g., £1,891 last 3 months, £2,409 last 12), outperforming many peers in long-term profitability and stability.
Limitations include some monthly losses and horse racing variance, but metrics position it as highly attractive for disciplined bettors seeking strong, verified returns over conservative options.
Key Performance Statistics
| Statistic | Value |
|---|---|
| Overall ROI | 17.65% |
| Tip Win Rate (last 3 months) | 15% |
| Percentage of Profitable Months | 75% |
| Sharpe Ratio (Performance Score) | 2.30 |
| Monthly Sharpe Ratio | 0.66 |
The Sharpe Ratio of 2.30 reflects an excellent risk-adjusted return, and the strong confidence in this ratio (0.96723) makes Ca Bets a highly attractive investment based on historical data.
Recent Form & ROI Breakdown
- Last 3 full months ROI: 55% with a profit of £1,891
- Last 6 full months ROI: 30% with a profit of £1,746
- Last 12 full months ROI: 15% with a profit of £2,409
This indicates strong recent performance, especially in short-term periods, signifying momentum and effective tipster skill.
Profit Probability
- 1-month profit probability: 75%, average profit £354, average loss -£87
- 2-month profit probability: 80%, average profit £573, average loss -£114
- 3-month profit probability: 79%, average profit £734, average loss -£107
The profit factor increases over longer periods, showing consistent profit potential with relatively contained losses in adverse scenarios.
Estimated Longest Losing Runs (ELLR)
- 1 month (131 tips): ELLR of 31 tips
- 2 months (262 tips): ELLR of 35 tips
- 3 months (393 tips): ELLR of 38 tips
These losing streaks equate to approximately ¼ to 1/3 of the tips within these periods, suggesting that bettors should be prepared for meaningful downturns lasting around one-fourth of their bets placed in a month. This equates to potential losses that staking plans should accommodate to avoid significant drawdowns.
Recommendation
Ca Bets is well suited for bettors looking for high-odds value in horse racing, with a bankroll recommendation of 800 points to weather losing streaks efficiently. Given the 75% chance of profit in the first month and a strong Sharpe Ratio, this service is an excellent investment for those seeking consistent, long-term returns in a high-risk market, assuming they can manage variance and stay disciplined.
Staking Plan
A flat staking approach of 10 points per bet is appropriate given the tipster’s average stake and loss potential. However, bettors should maintain a bankroll of at least 800 points to cover the longest losing runs lasting up to 38 tips (about 3 months). Risk controls should include avoiding increasing stakes during losing runs and potentially using a max stake limit on any individual tip to mitigate volatility. This conservative staking plan aligns with the tipster’s performance and helps maintain bankroll stability.
