📊 Report Date: October 10, 2025
📅 Data Period Covered: November 2024 – September 2025
🔄 Last Updated: October 10, 2025
NOTE: All probability and likelihood figures presented in this report are based on historical outcomes and past performance. They reflect tendencies observed over time rather than certainties or future guaranteesIntroduction
Tv Tips specializes entirely in horse racing, with 96% of its tips focused on race winners and the remainder in smaller-value alternative markets. The strategy builds around value selections with an average odds of 7.16, aiming for higher returns over time rather than frequent short-priced favorites. The average stake per bet is now clearly defined at 10 points, supporting disciplined staking and clear bank management.
For newcomers, there’s an 82% chance of making a profit in the first month, with average profits of £189 and average losses of £84 on losing months, while those willing to hold for up to three months have seen a 100% track record of profitability in that window. If unlucky in month one, data suggests a strong probability of moving into profit by the end of month two (90% chance). The optimal commitment window is a three-month subscription, maximizing the track record advantage and smoothing out short-term variance.
Potential investors should be ready for possible losing streaks of up to 19 consecutive tips (based on monthly average). A recommended starting bank of £500 is suggested, which comfortably covers the longest expected losing run at the average stake level. Long-term performance is strongly skill-driven with 9 of 11 months profitable, a robust Sharpe Ratio of 3.20, and high statistical confidence (p-value: 0.01266).
In balancing attractive returns with risk, Tv Tips offers real opportunities for disciplined, patient bettors, but the emotional challenge of losing runs should not be underestimated.
Key Takeaways
TL;DR: Tv Tips offers one of the strongest, statistically significant edges in UK horse racing, blending high average odds, disciplined staking, and resilience across market cycles.
ROI of 24.42% over the last year, well above market averages.
9 out of 11 months have ended in profit, highlighting strong long-term returns.
Exceptional risk-adjusted results: annualized Sharpe Ratio 3.20 and monthly 0.92.
Profit is highly likely for subscribers who hold for more than one month.
Effective for medium-risk, disciplined, and value-oriented bettors.
Key Performance Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Tips | 620 |
| Average Tips/month | 57 |
| Tip Win Rate (3 months) | 20% |
| Average Odds | 7.16 |
| Overall ROI | 24.42% |
| Average Monthly Profit | £125 |
| Average Stake | 10 points |
| Sharpe Ratio (Annualized) | 3.20 |
| Monthly Sharpe Ratio | 0.92 |
| P-value | 0.01266 |
| Confidence in Sharpe Ratio | 0.96113 |
| Profitable Months (of 11) | 9 |
These stats reinforce both the skill and significant edge driving Tv Tips‘s results: market-beating returns, clear staking structure, and statistics that back up real-world profitability.
TV TIPS BANK GROWTH
Bank growth changes over time with color-coded data points
Recent Form & ROI Breakdown
| Period | ROI | Profit (£) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 3 months | 27% | £348 |
| Last 6 months | 17% | £579 |
| Last 12 months | 24% | N/A |
Recent months remain strong, with the three-month ROI surpassing longer-term averages and brief downturns (like May/June) quickly reversed in subsequent periods. Holding for several months takes advantage of this resilience and recovery.
Profit Probability Table
| Duration | Profit Probability | Avg Profit | Avg Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | 82% | £189 | -£84 |
| 2 months | 90% | £295 | -£16 |
| 3 months | 100% | £348 | £0 |
The probability of making a profit rises the longer the subscription, with virtually zero risk of cumulative loss across three consecutive months based on the data.
Estimated Longest Losing Run (ELLR)
| Period | Number of Tips | ELLR |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | 57 tips | 19 |
| 2 months | 114 tips | 22 |
| 3 months | 171 tips | 24 |
Discipline through losing runs is crucial; the maximum drawdown for a £10 stake would be £190 (1 month) before recovery—reinforcing the need for a £500 starting bank.
Monthly Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
| Month | 1-month Profit/Loss | 2-month Profit/Loss | 3-month Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr | £247.00 | £330 | £269 |
| May | -£106.14 | £141 | £224 |
| Jun | £90.34 | -£16 | £231 |
| Jul | £39.60 | £130 | £24 |
| Aug | £245.70 | £285 | £376 |
| Sep | £62.80 | £309 | £348 |
Losses in individual months have been temporary, with most periods bouncing back and delivering net profit by the end of three months.
Recommendation
Tv Tips is ideal for moderately aggressive horse racing investors who want a blend of market-beating returns and professionally managed risk. The optimal subscription window is three months; those able to hold this long have unbeatable profit probabilities. Starting with a £500 bank allows comfortable performance even through the rare losing runs. This service is not suited to those looking for quick wins or unwilling to ride out variance—success is best achieved with patience and strict staking discipline.
Staking Plan
The updated staking plan is a flat £10 per tip, in line with the average stake, bankrolled by £500 to cover nearly three times the estimated longest losing run without excessive risk or emotional discomfort. Bettors should commit to fixed stakes and apply loss caps: if losses reach 35–40% of the bank in any single month, take a strategic pause and review. This plan aligns perfectly with Tv Tips‘s statistical profile—a high edge but the potential for variance, making it smart for investors who prioritize sustained returns over quick-fire wins.
