Updated: 30th June 2026
June Strategy
Following the May 2026 performance of this portfolio we decided the model required a ceiling on the percentage of bank risked on a daily basis. For June the maximum daily exposure limit was set at 7% of bank. The average daily exposure was 5.5% – much more comfortable levels.
Read how this portfolio was developed and optimised → and See the latest LIVE performance
June in Numbers
- Starting Bank: £621
- Total Bets: 576
- ROI: 26%
- Ending Bank: £905
Note: The Betting Bank was £524 after £97 subscriptions were paid.
The 3 Tipster Mixed Sport Portfolio
- The Least Expected (TLE)
- SVB Tips (SVB)
- ValueBet+ (VB+)
1st June 2026:
At end on May the total fund had increased to £621 – this left £524 for June’s betting bank after the £97 monthly subscription fees were paid.
Daily totals for stakes were set at: SVB – £22; TLE – £11; VB+ – £2.67 and unchanged for the whole month.
This limited the maxiumum percentage of bank risked each day to 7% with and average of 5.5% and a minumum of 3.19%.
30th June 2026:
Based on these daily stakes : the end-of-month ROI was 27% and the Win Rate was 26%. This is very much in line with the Monte Carlo simulations in the The 3-Tipster Portfolio post predicting ROI = 31% and Win Rate 28%
| Tipster | Expected Win Rate | Actual Win Rate | Expected ROI | Actual ROI | Performance |
| SVB Tips | 33% | 37% | 27% | 21% | High WR / Expected Variance |
| TLE | 40% | 38% | 15% | 28% | High Volume / Big Over-perf |
| ValueBet+ | 11% | 8% | 46% | 32% | High Vol / Slight Under-perf |
| TOTAL | 28% | 26% | 31% | 27% | On Target |
Month Profits
Total profit for the month was £284. The fund currently sits at £905 – this pays for next month’s subscriptions (£97) and leaves £808 in the betting bank for June.
Month Risks
The percentage of bank staked on any one day was:
Maximum: 7% on Monday 1st June when there were 16 tips from the portfolio.
Minimum: 3.2% – some days had zero tips from two of the three tipsters.
Average: 5.5% – very much in line with May’s 5.3% average.
Comparison Of Staking Approaches
The May comparison of staking approaches showed 1/4 Kelly Adjusted Weekly staking by far the most profitable. However, I’m personally not keen on the high variance that Kelly staking brings so this months figures are based on maximum daily exposure calculated at the start of the month and kept fixed throughout the month. In practcical terms this was a maximum of £36 staked each day across all three tipsters in a 60%, 30%,10% proportion.
Conclusion & Next Steps
May and June results align closely with the Monte Carlo simulation findings and are futher step forward in validating my approach.
| Tipster | Exp.Win Rate | Act.Win Rate | Exp. ROI | Act. ROI | Performance |
| June | 28% | 26% | 31% | 27% | On Target |
| May | 28% | 28% | 31% | 26% | On Target |
July Strategy
Only changes are the total stake risked per day increases in line with the increase in the betting bank.