Investment Report: Manovacia
1. Introduction
Manovacia focuses exclusively on football markets, particularly the 1X2 betting market. The tipster’s approach blends steady volume with a solid strike rate, targeting consistent returns through moderate-risk bets. Averaging just over one point per stake and maintaining a patient, data-driven strategy, Manovacia aims to capture value across many bets rather than relying on a small number of high-risk wagers.
2. Key Takeaways
Manovacia delivers an attractive return on investment while maintaining a strong hit rate, making it a viable choice for investors seeking steady growth over time.
- ROI sits at a healthy 14% overall, showing profitable performance across nearly 30 months.
- A 66% win rate underlines solid selection skill in the 1X2 football market.
- The strategy maintains a reasonable risk profile with a Sharpe ratio of 0.38 and statistically significant results (P-value 0.00020).
- The tipster performs best over the medium term (3 months), with profit probabilities above 70%, indicating reliability.
- Recommended for investors with a moderate bankroll who prefer gradual gains with manageable volatility.
3. Key Performance Statistics
- Total Tips: 615
- Average Stake: 1.18 points
- Tip Win Rate: 66%
- Overall ROI: 14%
- Average Odds: 1.96
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.38
- P-Value: 0.00020
- Profitable Months: 20 out of 29
The 14% ROI demonstrates consistent profitability. A 66% strike rate is strong for the 1X2 market, suggesting disciplined and effective selection. The Sharpe ratio of 0.38 reflects moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the very low p-value shows these results are unlikely to be due to chance. This is a reliable, evidence-backed betting approach with longevity.
4. Recent Form & ROI Breakdown
| Period | ROI | Profit (£) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 3 months | 17% | 101 |
| Last 6 months | 8% | 64 |
| Last 12 months | 7% | 171 |
| Last 24 months | 5% | — |
Over the recent three months, Manovacia has achieved a solid 17% ROI with profits exceeding £100. Although ROI declines slightly over longer periods, the tipster maintains profitability with steady gains. The recent form shows a positive momentum after some variability in earlier months.
5. Profit Probability Table
| Period | Profit Probability | Average Profit (£) | Average Loss (£) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | 71% | 49 | -22 |
| 2 months | 70% | 93 | -19 |
| 3 months | 81% | 104 | -16 |
Profit probability improves as the holding period extends, reaching 81% over three months. This suggests that the tipster’s strategy performs better when given some time to smooth out short-term fluctuations. Average profits exceed losses by a wide margin, which reinforces the appeal of a patient investment horizon.
6. Estimated Longest Losing Run (ELLR)
| Period | ELLR (tips) |
|---|---|
| 1 month | 4 |
| 2 months | 4 |
| 3 months | 5 |
The longest losing runs are relatively short, with a maximum of 5 tips expected to lose consecutively over three months. This manageable losing streak allows for a staking plan that controls risk without sacrificing growth potential.
7. Monthly Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
| Month | Monthly Profit/Loss (£) |
|---|---|
| May 2025 | 31.70 |
| Apr 2025 | 13.10 |
| Mar 2025 | 51.45 |
| Feb 2025 | 36.20 |
| Jan 2025 | -64.65 |
| Dec 2024 | 27.90 |
Despite a notable loss in January 2025, recent months have returned consistently positive results. This pattern underscores the resilience of the strategy and its ability to recover quickly from setbacks.
8. Recommendation
Manovacia suits investors who want steady returns from football betting without extreme volatility. Its disciplined approach and statistical robustness make it a solid option for those comfortable with moderate stakes and willing to accept occasional small losing runs. This tipster’s performance over a sustained period builds confidence in long-term profitability.
9. Find Our More
10. Staking Plan Section
Given the average stake of approximately 1.18 points and the typical longest losing run of 4 to 5 bets, a conservative staking plan will help preserve bankroll during inevitable drawdowns. A recommended starting bankroll of 50 points is prudent, allowing for loss absorption and steady growth.
A flat staking plan of 1 point per bet is a good baseline, aligned with Manovacia’s average stake. This controls risk without limiting upside. Additionally, incorporating a simple stop-loss threshold—such as pausing betting after a losing streak of 5 bets—can prevent excessive losses in down periods.
This staking plan balances steady capital growth and risk control, fitting Manovacia’s statistical profile and proven profitability over time.
