ZENITH : 14% ROI Football tips – High Expectancy

OVERVIEW :

ZENITH has been providing Football tips since September 2019 producing a very good 14% ROI with 37 profitable months from 41 total months tipping – providing a 90% chance of having a profitable month.

On average there’s 9 tips per day typically advised at 10 pt. which means, at £1 per point, you’d be betting around £90 per day.

Analysing different historical time periods shows a 100% probability of making a profit with ZENITH over all consecutive 3 month periods.

TIPSTER SKILL FACTOR : VERY HIGH

The statistical p-value gives a measure of how likely a tipster’s results could be achieved purely by chance – have they just been lucky or is there some skill or expertise at play here?

ZENITH’s p-value is 0.0000 (to 4 dec. places) – in other words a 0% probability these results are down to luck.

This indicates that it is extremely unlikely these results could be achieved by pure chance.

LOSING STREAKS : SHORT

How long will losing streaks be?

The all-time tip Win Rate has been 43% over 41 months and 4163 tips which gives a low ELLR (Estimated Longest Losing Run) figure of 15. In other words, you should have been prepared for 15 losing tips in a row over this time.

Based on a 43% Win Rate and the current tips rate you should anticipate encountering the following:

• Over the next month (160 tips): At least one run of 10 losing tips.
• In the next 3 months (500 tips): At least one run of 11 losing tips.
• During the next 6 months (1600 tips): At least one run of 14 losing tips.

TIPSTER RISK FACTOR : LOW

The risk factor is calculated from the variance in the monthly ROI figures – are the ROI figures always about the same or do they vary a lot?

If the monthly ROI figures vary a lot this means performance is volatile and volatility means risk.

ZENITH’s coefficient of variation figure is 0.63 indicating performance is stable and risk is low.

VALUE FOR MONEY : VERY GOOD

Does the subscription cost for this tipster represent value for money?

At £19 per month the subscription cost is low.

With an ROI of 14% this means each 1% of ROI costs £1.36 which is good value.

However, taking out a 3-month subscription will make things relatively cheaper per month and you can always cancel the subscription and get a refund if things don’t work out.

BETTING STAKES : REASONABLE

How much am I likely to be betting every day?

£0.10 /pt. to cover subscription cost
Doing the calculations based on 14% ROI from 9 tips a day at the average advised stakes of 10.5 pt. you’d need to be betting at £0.10 per point just to cover the £19 subscription cost.

£0.40 /pt. to clear £100 profit
If you were looking to make somewhere in the region of £100 clear profit a month, over and above the subscription cost, the staking levels would need to be around £0.40 per point. This means betting in the region of £40 a day.

N.B. This is purely an indication of the scale of staking. Its never going to work out this way in real life – the ROI for the month will be different, the number of tips per day will be different and the advised points per tip can change.

BETTING BANK SIZE : 260pts

How much money do I need to start with?

The size of Betting Bank required to adequately follow a tipster is based on a combination of the average stake size and the ELLR.

The formula used here to calculate the size of Betting Bank is: Betting Bank Size = 2.5 x ELLR x Average Bet Stake

This will be enough to withstand a worst-case scenario of two (2) longest losing runs in quick sucession and still have something left (0.5) to continue betting.

The first month betting bank size for ZENITH would be around 260 points.

So, if you were betting at £0.40/pt stakes aiming to make £100 clear profit the Betting Bank would need to be around £100.

EXPECTANCY : GOOD

How long before I can expect to make profit?

1 MONTH: If you’d followed ZENITH for 1 month at any time since the service started there was a 90% chance you’d make a profit. Looking at it another way you were 9 times more likely to have made money than lost money in any one month and your profit would have been 5 times more than the amount you might have lost – an average of 310 points profit versus an average loss of -60 points.

2 MONTH: Following for 2 consecutive months at any time since the service started there was a 98% chance you’d make a profit. You were 49 times more likely to have made money than lost money in those two months and your profit would have been 4 times more than the amount you might have lost – an average of 570 points profit versus an average loss of -150 points.

3 MONTH: Every consecutive 3 month period since this service started has been profitable. If you’d followed for 3 consecutive months you’d have made an average of 840 points profit.

Find out more about ZENITH here

If you enjoyed this article and found it useful you can subscribe to thebetinvestor to get notified when new articles like this are posted.