TRIBTTS: A Statistical Deep Dive to 30% ROI football tipster

In this comprehensive analysis of Tribtts, we explore 14 months of betting data, encompassing 1,457 tips with an average of 3 tips per day. The tipster demonstrates overall profitability with a positive ROI, showcasing consistent performance over the long term. Recent months have shown particularly strong results, with significant profits in the last 3 and 6 months. However, the analysis also reveals fluctuations in performance and potential risks that bettors should consider.

Overall Performance and Profitability

Tribtts has demonstrated a strong overall performance, with a total profit of 9,386.07 units over the 14-month period. The average monthly profit stands at 670.43 units, indicating consistent positive returns. The overall Return on Investment (ROI) is an impressive 34%, suggesting that for every 100 units invested, bettors could expect a return of 134 units on average.

Consistency and Recent Performance

Analyzing the tipster’s consistency reveals some fluctuations in performance. Out of the 14 months analyzed, 11 were profitable, while 3 showed losses. This translates to a 79% monthly profit rate, which is quite remarkable.

Recent performance has been particularly strong:

  • Last 3 months: 2,817 units profit, 42% ROI
  • Last 6 months: 4,364.83 units profit, 36% ROI
  • Last 12 months: 9,103.97 units profit, 35% ROI

These figures indicate an upward trend in profitability, with the most recent periods showing higher returns.

Number of Tips and Win Rate

Over the 14-month period, Tribtts provided a total of 1,457 tips. The average win rate across all months is 38%, with individual monthly win rates ranging from 29% to 75%. It’s worth noting that the number of tips per month varies significantly, from as low as 4 to as high as 147.

Long-term Trend and ROI

The long-term trend for Tribtts is positive, with an overall upward trajectory in cumulative profits. The average monthly ROI of 34% is consistently high, indicating strong performance over time. However, it’s important to note that there have been months with negative ROI, highlighting the inherent volatility in betting.

Risk Level Assessment

The risk level associated with following Tribtts can be considered moderate to high. This assessment is based on several factors:

  • High variance in monthly profits, ranging from -310.21 to 2,624.13 units
  • Fluctuating win rates (29% to 75%)
  • High average odds (9.93 across all months), indicating a focus on riskier bets

While the overall profitability is strong, these factors suggest that followers should be prepared for potential short-term losses and volatility.

Skill Factor and Sharpe Ratio

To assess the skill level of Tribtts, we calculated a p-value as a skill factor indicator. The resulting p-value of 0.0002 suggests that the tipster’s performance is highly unlikely to be due to chance alone, indicating a significant level of skill.

The Sharpe Ratio, which measures risk-adjusted returns, was calculated to be 2.14. This value indicates that the tipster is generating returns that outweigh the level of risk taken, further supporting the conclusion that Tribtts demonstrates skill in their betting selections.

Estimated Longest Losing Run and Betting Bank

Based on the historical data, the estimated longest losing run for the next month is 12 consecutive losses. To withstand potential losses during this period, a betting bank of approximately 1,200 units is recommended. This estimation assumes a 1% stake of the total bank per bet and aims to provide a buffer against extended losing streaks.

Probability of Profit and Loss for the Next Month

Analyzing the historical data, we can estimate the probabilities for the upcoming month:

  • Probability of making a profit: 79%
  • Expected profit (if profitable): 670 units
  • Probability of incurring a loss: 21%
  • Expected loss (if unprofitable): 186 units

These projections are based on the average performance over the past 14 months and should be considered as estimates rather than guarantees.

Two-Month Profit and Loss Probability

Extending our analysis to a two-month period, we find:

  • Probability of making a profit over two months: 85%
  • Expected two-month profit (if profitable): 1,341 units
  • Probability of incurring a loss over two months: 15%
  • Expected two-month loss (if unprofitable): 217 units

These calculations are based on analyzing every pair of consecutive months in the available data. The higher probability of profit over a two-month period suggests that Tribtts tends to recover from losing months relatively quickly.

Next Steps

Based on the comprehensive analysis of Tribtts‘ performance, following this tipster’s recommendations appears to be potentially profitable. The consistent long-term profitability, high ROI, and recent strong performance are encouraging factors. However, potential followers should be aware of the moderate to high risk level and be prepared for potential short-term losses.

It’s recommended to start with a conservative approach, using the suggested betting bank size and closely monitoring performance. As with any betting strategy, it’s crucial to practice responsible gambling and never risk more than you can afford to lose.

MORE INFORMATION FULL STATISTICS

Important Note: This analysis is based on data as presented on the Tipstrr site. It does not have access to the underlying database. Therefore, calculations may be inaccurate to a small degree but will be sufficiently accurate to provide useful information, indications and guidance.

Rob

Rob

I'm Rob, I have an M.Sc. In Mathematics and Computer Science and I am the creator & writer of TheBetInvestor. I provide honest independent assessments of sports tipsters based on statistical and financial investment analysis. My aim is to find profitable tipsters and help you safely navigate the murky waters of the online sports tips world.

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