The King of Horses : £22,000 profit and heading for 12 consecutive profitable months

 

OVERVIEW :

The King Of Horses has been providing Horse racing tips since April 2023 delivering an incredible 30% ROI over 11 completed months of tips. He has had 11 profitable months out of those 11 which is 100% success rate.

On average there’s 12 tips per day typically advised at 10 pt. which means, at £1 per point, you’d be betting around £120 per day.

Based on past results at best there’s been a 100% chance of making a profit with The King Of Horses during any consecutive 1 months.

The-king-of-horses

ROI:
 30%
Profit Mths:
 11 / 11
Expectancy:
 1mth – 100%
Skill:
 VERY HIGH
ELLR:
 22
Risk:
 LOW
Value:
 VERY GOOD
Stakes:
 REASONABLE
Betting Bank:
 550 points

Since joining Tipstrr in April 2023, the king of horses has made a total cumulative profit of £22,847

TIPSTER SKILL FACTOR : VERY HIGH

The statistical p-value provides an indication of how likely a tipster’s results could be achieved purely by chance – have they just been lucky?

The King Of Horses’ p-value is 0.0000 (to 4 decimal places) – in other words there’s a 0% probability these results are due to luck.

This suggests its extremely unlikely these results could be achieved by pure chance.

LOSING STREAKS : LONG

How long will losing streaks be?

The tip Win Rate has been 24% over 3800 tips. In those 3800 tips you should have been prepared for 31 losing tips in a row.

Based on the current ROI and tip rate you should anticipate encountering the following:

  • Over the next month: At least one run of 22 losing tips.
  • In the next 3 months: At least one run of 26 losing tips.
  • During the next 6 months: At least one run of 28 losing tips.

TIPSTER RISK FACTOR : LOW

The finance industry uses a coefficient of variation calculation to measure how risky an investment is. In simple terms its the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean.

But in even simpler terms its looking at the monthly ROI figures – are they always about the same or do they vary a lot?

If they vary a lot that means performance is volatile and volatility means risk.

The King Of Horses‘s coefficient of variation figure is 0.74 indicating performance is stable and risk is low.

VALUE FOR MONEY : VERY GOOD

Does the subscription cost for this tipster represent value for money?

The monthly subscription cost is reasonable at £39 per month so with an ROI of 30% this means each 1% of ROI costs £1.29 which is good value.

However, taking a 3-month or 6-month subscription will make things relatively cheaper. If things work out then the subscription cost will not eat into your profits as much. And if it doesn’t go to plan you can always cancel and get a refund.

BETTING STAKES : REASONABLE

How much am I likely to be betting every day?

Using the ROI figure together with the average number of tips per day and the average advised points per tip we can get a rough estimate of how much we need to betting to at least cover the monthly subscription cost.

£0.10 per point to cover subscription cost
Based on the 30% ROI from 12 tips a day at the average advised stakes of 10 points you’d need to be betting at £0.10 per point to cover the £39 subscription cost.

£0.20 per point to clear £100 profit
To make somewhere in the region of £100 clear profit a month, over and above the subscription cost, the staking levels would need to be around £0.20 per point. At this level you’d be betting in the region of £25 a day.

£0.50 per point to clear £1,500 profit
To make somewhere in the region of £1,500 clear profit a month, over and above the subscription cost, the staking levels would need to be around £0.50 per point. At this level you’d be betting in the region of £60 a day.

 

N.B. This is purely an indication of the scale of staking. Its never going to work out this way in real life – the ROI for the month will be different, the number of tips per day will be different and the advised points per tip can change.

 

BETTING BANK SIZE : 560pts

How much money do I need to start with?

The size of Betting Bank required to adequately follow a tipster is based on a combination of the average stake size and the Estimated Longest Losing Run (ELLR) which, in turn, is based on the Win Rate of the tipster’s bets.

The formula used here to calculate the size of Betting Bank is: Betting Bank Size = 2.5 x ELLR x Average Bet Stake

This will be sufficient to withstand a worst-case scenario of two (2) longest losing runs in quick secession and still have something left (0.5) to continue betting.

The first month betting bank size for The King Of Horses would be 560 points.

So, if you were betting at £0.20/pt stakes aiming to make £100 clear profit the Betting Bank would be around £100.

EXPECTANCY : VERY GOOD

How long before I can expect to make profit?

1 MONTH: Every 1 month period since this service started has been profitable. If you’d joined and followed for 1 month you’d have made an average of 2050 points profit.

2 MONTH: Every consecutive 2 month period since this service started has been profitable and you would have made an average of 4120 points profit.

3 MONTH: Every consecutive 3 month period since this service started has been profitable. If you’d followed for 3 consecutive months you’d have made an average of 6230 points profit.

Consecutive Periods Total Made Profit Made Loss %Profitable Avg.Profit Avg.Loss Expectancy Profit Factor
any 1 month 11 11 0 100% 2050 0 2050 2050
any 2 months 10 10 0 100% 4120 0 4120 4120
any 3 months 9 9 0 100% 6230 0 6230 6230
any 4 months 8 8 0 100% 8190 0 8190 8190
any 5 months 7 7 0 100% 10110 0 10110 10110
any 6 months 6 6 0 100% 12080 0 12080 12080

Find out more about The King Of Horses here

 

 

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Rob

Rob

I'm Rob, I have an M.Sc. In Mathematics and Computer Science and I am the creator & writer of TheBetInvestor. I provide honest independent assessments of sports tipsters based on statistical and financial investment analysis. My aim is to find profitable tipsters and help you safely navigate the murky waters of the online sports tips world.

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