SVB Tips : Multisport – Football 10% ROI – Racing 19% ROI

OVERVIEW :

SVB-TIPS has been providing Football and Horse racing tips since January 2019 producing a very good 20% ROI with 44 profitable months from 55 total months tipping – providing a 80% chance of having a profitable month.

On average there’s 5 tips per day typically advised at 10 pt. which means, at £1 per point, you’d be betting around £50 per day.

Performance so far over different time periods suggest there’s a 98% expectation of making a profit with SVB-TIPS over every consecutive 4 month period.

Since joining Tipstrr 56 months ago in January 2019, SVB Tips :

• has made a total cumulative profit of £14,400 and an average monthly profit of £257.
• provides Football tips as well as Horse racing tips.
• leans toward the Race winner and Both teams to score markets.
• bookmakers of choice are Betfair and Bet365.
• preferred leagues are Friendly Club Matches and 3. Division.
• likes to tip at odds between 2.40 and 3.99.
• typically uses a stake of 5/10.
• usually posts their tips around 8AM – 12PM.
• usually posts their tips around 6-12 hours before a fixture starts.
• SVB Tips’ longest unbroken profit streak was 16 months.

TIPSTER SKILL FACTOR : VERY HIGH

The statistical p-value gives a measure of how likely a tipster’s results could be achieved purely by chance – have they just been lucky or is there some skill or expertise at play here?

SVB-TIPS’s p-value is 0.0000 (to 4 dec. places) – in other words a 0% probability these results are down to luck.

This indicates that it is extremely unlikely these results could be achieved by pure chance.

LOSING STREAKS : SHORT

How long will losing streaks be?

The all-time tip Win Rate over 9728 tips has been 37%.

You will always get losing runs but if this Win Rate and the volume of tips stays pretty much the same you should anticipate the following over the next periods of time:

• In the next month: At least one run of 11 losing tips.
• In the next 3 months: At least one run of 14 losing tips.
• During the next 6 months: At least one run of 15 losing tips.

TIPSTER RISK FACTOR : LOW

The finance industry uses a coefficient of variation calculation to measure how risky an investment is. In simple terms its the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean.

But in even simpler terms its looking at the monthly ROI figures – are they always about the same or do they vary a lot?

If they vary a lot that means performance is volatile and volatility means risk.The coefficent of variation puts a specific number to this risk so that you can compare investments for risk but you can get a sense of how risky/volatile a tipster is just by looking at how much the ROI changes month-on-month.

SVB-TIPS‘s coefficient of variation figure is 0.70 indicating performance is stable and risk is low.

VALUE FOR MONEY : VERY GOOD

Does the subscription cost for this tipster represent value for money?

At £19 per month the subscription cost is low.

With an ROI of 20% this means each 1% of ROI costs £0.96 which is great value.

However, taking out a 3-month subscription will make things relatively cheaper per month and you can always cancel the subscription and get a refund if things don’t work out.

BETTING STAKES : REASONABLE

How much am I likely to be betting every day?

Using the ROI figure together with the average number of tips per day and the average advised points per tip we can get a rough estimate of how much we need to betting to at least cover the monthly subscription cost.

£0.10 per point to cover subscription cost
Based on the 20% ROI from 5 tips a day at the average advised stakes of 10 points you’d need to be betting at £0.10 per point to cover the £19 subscription cost.

£0.50 per point to clear £100 profit
To make somewhere in the region of £100 clear profit a month, over and above the subscription cost, the staking levels would need to be around £0.50 per point. At this level you’d be betting in the region of £25 a day.

N.B. This is purely an indication of the scale of staking. Its never going to work out this way in real life – the ROI for the month will be different, the number of tips per day will be different and the advised points per tip can change.

BETTING BANK SIZE : 280pts

How much money do I need to start with?

The size of Betting Bank required to adequately follow a tipster is based on a combination of the average stake size and the Estimated Longest Losing Run (ELLR) which, in turn, is based on the Win Rate of the tipster’s bets.

The formula used here to calculate the size of Betting Bank is: Betting Bank Size = 2.5 x ELLR x Average Bet Stake

This will be sufficient to withstand a worst-case scenario of two (2) longest losing runs in quick sucession and still have something left (0.5) to continue betting.

The first month betting bank size for SVB-TIPS would be 280 points.

So, if you were betting at £0.50/pt stakes aiming to make £100 clear profit the Betting Bank would be around £150.

EXPECTANCY : POOR

How long before I can expect to make profit?

1 MONTH: If you’d followed SVB-TIPS for 1 month at any time since the service started there was a 80% chance you’d make a profit. Looking at it another way you were 4 times more likely to have made money than lost money in any one month and your profit would have been 4 times more than the amount you might have lost – an average of 340 points profit versus an average loss of -90 points.

2 MONTH: Following for 2 consecutive months at any time since the service started there was a 93% chance you’d make a profit. You were 13 times more likely to have made money than lost money in those two months and your profit would have been 3 times more than the amount you might have lost – an average of 550 points profit versus an average loss of -180 points.

3 MONTH: If you’d followed for 3 consecutive months at any time since the service started there was a 96% chance you’d make a profit. You were 26 times more likely to have made money than lost money and your profit would have been 3 times more than the amount you might have lost – an average of 770 points profit versus an average loss of -250 points.

Find out more about SVB-TIPS here

If you enjoyed this article and found it useful you can subscribe to thebetinvestor to get notified when new articles like this are posted.