SUPER SPORTS CAPPER : low-risk high-reward 20% ROI highly investable multi-sport tipster

Overview of service

Summary: Super Sports Capper is a multi-sport tipster on Bettinggods. He’s been tipping for 7 months at the time of this analysis and all 7 months have been profitable.

The tip Win Rate is around 68% overall and the all-time ROI is 23.4%.

Sports covered are predominantly basketball but with some football, soccer, NFL, and tennis thrown in.

The markets covered are not your usual run-of-the-mill. All but 9 of the 487 tips are for Under in some kind of market on points, assists, rebounds, shots, shots on goal etc.

You can expect an average of 2 – 3 tips per day advised as a 2 point bet.

PROs

  • High consistency
  • Excellent ROI for a non-racing tipster
  • Low-risk
  • High-reward
  • Value-for-money
  • Small betting bank required

CONs

  • Finding the bet markets at the bookmakers

PROFIT

Return On Investment

The all-time ROI of Super Sports Capper has been an excellent 23%.

Overall 7mth 6mth 3mth
23.4% 23.4% 26.5% 22.9%

The table below shows the breakdown for each sport Super Sports Capper has tipped.

Sport Tips Tot.Stake P/L ROI
Basketball 333 656 127.57 19%
Football 74 160 58.01 36%
NFL 56 112 36.08 32%
Tennis 10 18 1.89 11%
AFL 9 18 0.9 5%
NRL 5 6 2.78 46%
487 970 227.23 23%

A 19% ROI for 333 basketball tips is impressive however the numbers of tips for other sports are just too low to read anything meaningful into them right now.

Return on Capital

The Return On Capital (ROC) figure for the Super Sports Capper tips is a very respectable 800%.

Betting Bank Growth in Money Terms

If you had set the stake size for each new betting day as 2% of the available betting bank. Starting with a betting bank of £250 in Sep’20 you would started betting at £5 per bet.

Seven months later, in Apr’21, your £250 bank would have grown to almost £2,200 and you’d be placing £42 bets.

Consistency

The consistency of Super Sports Capper is visually reflected in the performance graph which stays very close to a straight-line growth in profits.

COST

Value for Money

When you sign-up for a tipster you hope to make the same profit, the same ROI, as the tipster. And you’re paying a subscription fee for that.

Each percentage of ROI, therefore, has a monetary £/$/€ cost. (e.g. 10% ROI costing £20 in subscription fee means each 1% of ROI costs £2)

This is a useful way to compare tipsters when shopping around for value-for-money – how much is each 1% of ROI costing you.

Super Sports Capper’s 23% ROI costs £39 per month in subscription fee. Each 1% of ROI, therefore, costs around £1.70. This compares well with an average £2.20 per percent of ROI so represents good value for money.

Staking

Super Sports Capper has a very straightforward 2 points advised for each tip.

But could you actually bet at £1 per point (£2 per bet) and make money with this tipster?

The short answer is no.

Two tips per day bet at £2 per tip for a month (30 days) equates to £120 staked per month.

If the ROI is 23% the profit for a month would be 23% x £120 which is roughly £27. But the monthly subscription fee is £39. So you’d be £12 out of pocket.

You need to be betting £3 per tip just to cover the £39 subscription fee.

£10 bet per tip would give you £100 profit/month in your pocket after you take out the subscription fee.

That is of course all assuming the service continues to deliver the same performance and 25% ROI.

However

Currently, there’s a 15 Day trial of £1.99 and a very enticing 105-day trial for £39 which is practically three months for the price of one.

Both of these offers change the maths on staking I’ve just described very much in your favour.

So you could start following this tipster with very small stakes and still make it work.

Betting Bank

The betting bank size for Super Sports Capper based on the 68% Win Rate would be around 30 – 35 points. This is a very low betting bank size and entry into this service is extremely affordable.

The size of the Betting Bank required to adequately follow a tipster is based on a combination of the average stake size and the Estimated Longest Losing Run (ELLR) which, in turn, is based on the Win Rate of the tipster’s bets.

The 30 points figure is based on having enough to suffer a worst-case scenario of two longest losing runs in a row and still have something left to continue betting.

The formula used here to calculate the size of Betting Bank is: Betting Bank Size = 2.5 x ELLR x Average Bet Stake

Super Sports Capper has published roughly 500 tips and over the last 7 months has averaged around 70 tips per month – that’s 2 – 3 tips per day.

At this current rate then we might expect a further 500 tips over the next 7 months taking the total to 1,000 tips.

The ELLR for 1000 tips at a 68% Win Rate is somewhere between 6 and 7.

You should anticipate hitting a losing run of 7 losing bets in a row over the next 7 months.

So a start-up Betting Bank Size of 30 – 35 points ( 2.5 x 7 x 2 ) should be adequate.

RISK

Volatility

The less volatile a tipster’s performance is the more dependable their profits are month to month.

With high volatility, you get big profitable months and big losing months which makes the timing of when you join a tipster a bit of a gamble – are you going to hit a good month or a bad month?

From the performance so far, which is albeit a short 7 months, it’s a straight-line bank growth –  I think it’s fair to say that, right now, Super Sports Capper’s volatility is very low.

Based on this you’d be unlucky to hit a losing month when you join.

Skill versus Chance

The statistical p-value is used to gauge if a tipster’s ROI could have been achieved simply through luck or chance rather than something else like skill or expertise.

The best p-value figures are typically less than 0.01%. Values this low are very strong evidence against it being luck or chance.

Super Sports Capper’s p-value based on 487 tips is currently 0.0000004% – clearly very strong evidence against this success being just luck – much more likely is the ROI being produced by Super Sports Capper is due to skill or expertise.

Estimated Longest Losing Run

The bet Win Rate of 68% indicates an ELLR of around 6 based on the number of tips published in the last 7 months. And that will rise to 7 over the next 7 months. So if you joined this service now you should expect and plan for 7 (or more) losing bets in a row.

With Super Sports Capper’s average stake size being 2 points, a streak of 7 losing bets would take 2 or 3 days to happen and would result in a total loss of 14 points. AT £5 per point that would be a loss of around £70.

In reality, though provided you keep regularly adjusting the £ value of your points on a daily basis then the actual real-money impact will be substantially less.

Risk/Reward

The ratio of Risk to Reward is a gauge of how investable a tipster is. Ideally, you want high reward (a high ROI) with very little risk (low volatility).

Super Sports Capper’s current Risk/Reward figure is very good. The 0.70 number (a ratio of 7 to 10) indicates there is more reward on offer here than there is risk.

EFFORT

Time Commitment

This is an easy service to follow.  With an average of 2 or 3 tips per day, you can have your bets placed in under 10 minutes and the rest of the day is yours.

The only caveat I would place on that is that, in the early days until you’re used to this service, you may spend a little more time finding those unusual markets that Super Sports Capper tips.

CONCLUSION

This technical analysis has covered almost 7 months and over 487 tips of Super Sports Capper’s results from Sep’20 to mid-Apr’21.

With 7 profitable months from 7 and an extremely low p-value, all the technical indicators suggest this is an extremely investable tipster.

Super Sports Capper is a low-risk high-reward investment requiring a relatively small bank and very little effort to follow. The performance to date has been consistent and outstanding.

The recommendations would be:

  • if you are going to join up the take the 105-day trial at £39 – 3 months for the price of 1
  • set aside a 35 point (e.g. £250) betting bank
  • be prepared for a run of 7 losing bets during 2021
  • use 2% of bank per point staking (e.g. starting of with £5 per bet)
  • adjust the £/point staking on a daily basis
  • test profitability using Betfair exchange
  • use 10 or more bookmakers and rotate through them

Find out more about Super Sports Capper here

 

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Rob

Rob

I'm Rob, I have an M.Sc. In Mathematics and Computer Science and I am the creator & writer of TheBetInvestor. I provide honest independent assessments of sports tipsters based on statistical and financial investment analysis. My aim is to find profitable tipsters and help you safely navigate the murky waters of the online sports tips world.

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