SOCCERBR : 10% ROI and 12 consecutive months profit

OVERVIEW :

soccerbr has been providing Football tips since January 2022 delivering a reasonable 10% ROI from an average of 9 tip a day typically advised at 10 pt.

There have been 12 profitable months from 12 total months suggesting a 100% chance of having a profitable month when you join.

Based on past results at best there’s been a 100% chance of making a profit with soccerbr during any consecutive 1 months.

soccerbr

ROI:
 10%
Profit Mths:
 12 / 12
Expectancy:
 1mth – 100%
Skill:
 VERY HIGH
ELLR:
 10
Risk:
 LOW
Value:
 VERY GOOD
Stakes:
 HIGH
Betting Bank:
 250 points

TIPSTER SKILL FACTOR : VERY HIGH

The p-value is a statistical measure used to determine the likelihood that an observed outcome is the result of chance.

soccerbr‘s p-value is 0.0000 (to 4 decimal places) – in other words there’s a 0% probability these results are due to luck.

This suggests its extremely unlikely these results could be achieved by pure chance.

LOSING STREAKS : SHORT

How long will losing streaks be?

Over 12 months there have been 3141 tips. The Win Rate of these tips has been 43%. This gives an ELLR (Estimated Longest Losing Run) figure of 15. In other words you should have been prepared for 15 losing tips in a row over that number of tips.

With the current ROI and number of tips per day you should prepare for encountering the following:

  • Over the next month: At least one run of 10 losing tips.
  • In the next 3 months: At least one run of 12 losing tips.
  • During the next 6 months: At least one run of 14 losing tips.

TIPSTER RISK FACTOR : LOW

The finance industry uses a coefficient of variation calculation to measure how risky an investment is. In simple terms its the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean.

But in even simpler terms its looking at the monthly ROI figures – are they always about the same or do they vary a lot?

If they vary a lot that means performance is volatile and volatility means risk.

soccerbr‘s coefficient of variation figure is 0.77 indicating performance is stable and risk is low.

VALUE FOR MONEY : VERY GOOD

Does the subscription cost for this tipster represent value for money?

The monthly subscription cost is £19 which is low. soccerbr’s overall ROI of 10% means that each 1% of ROI costs £1.98 which is around average value.

Generally, subscriptions costs are typically less per month if you take a 3-month or even 6-month subscription and you can always cancel and get a refund should things not go the way you hoped.

BETTING STAKES : HIGH

How much am I likely to be betting every day?

£0.10 /pt. to cover subscription cost
Doing the calculations based on 10% ROI from 9 tips a day at the average advised stakes of 10.5 pt. you’d need to be betting at £0.10 per point just to cover the £19 subscription cost.

£0.50 /pt. to clear £100 profit
If you were looking to make somewhere in the region of £100 clear profit a month, over and above the subscription cost, the staking levels would need to be around £0.50 per point. This means betting in the region of £55 a day.

N.B. This is purely an indication of the scale of staking. Its never going to work out this way in real life – the ROI for the month will be different, the number of tips per day will be different and the advised points per tip can change.

BETTING BANK SIZE : 260pts

How much money do I need to start with?

The size of Betting Bank required to adequately follow a tipster is based on a combination of the average stake size and the Estimated Longest Losing Run (ELLR) which, in turn, is based on the Win Rate of the tipster’s bets.

The formula used here to calculate the size of Betting Bank is: Betting Bank Size = 2.5 x ELLR x Average Bet Stake

This will withstand a worst-case scenario of two (2) longest losing runs in quick sucession and still have something left (0.5) to continue betting.

The first month betting bank size for soccerbr would be 260 points.

So, if you were betting at £0.50/pt stakes hoping to make £100 clear profit the Betting Bank would need to be around £150.

EXPECTANCY : VERY GOOD

How long before I can expect to make profit?

1 MONTH: Every 1 month period since this service started has been profitable. If you’d joined and followed for 1 month you’d have made an average of 610 points profit.

2 MONTH: Every consecutive 2 month period since this service started has been profitable and you would have made an average of 1260 points profit.

3 MONTH: Every consecutive 3 month period since this service started has been profitable. If you’d followed for 3 consecutive months you’d have made an average of 1990 points profit.

Consecutive Periods Total Made Profit Made Loss %Profitable Avg.Profit Avg.Loss Expectancy Profit Factor
any 1 month 12 12 0 100% 610 0 610 610
any 2 months 11 11 0 100% 1260 0 1260 1260
any 3 months 10 10 0 100% 1990 0 1990 1990
any 4 months 9 9 0 100% 2740 0 2740 2740
any 5 months 8 8 0 100% 3400 0 3400 3400
any 6 months 7 7 0 100% 4010 0 4010 4010

Find out more about soccerbr here

 

 

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Rob

Rob

I'm Rob, I have an M.Sc. In Mathematics and Computer Science and I am the creator & writer of TheBetInvestor. I provide honest independent assessments of sports tipsters based on statistical and financial investment analysis. My aim is to find profitable tipsters and help you safely navigate the murky waters of the online sports tips world.

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