Macak11
Overview:
Professional Football Tipster since 16th February 2021.
Macak11 has produced a very good 10.5% ROI with 8 profitable months from 13 total months tipping. That’s a 62% success rate which is borderline – it looks like its pretty much a toss-up whether you’d get a profitable month when you join.
On average there are 1 tips per day typically advised at an average 10 points which means, at £1 per point, you’d be betting around £10 per day.
Skill Factor: UNCERTAIN
Macak11‘s statistical p-value is 0.0608 ( to 4 decimal places ). This indicates there’s a 6% probability these results could be achieved by pure chance.There’s not enough data, however, to say whether this a reliable figure or not.
Losing Streaks: VERY SHORT
The all-time tip Win Rate has been 51% over 13 months and 231 tips which gives a low ELLR (Estimated Longest Losing Run) figure of 8 – you should be prepared for 8 losing tips in a row.
Based on this you should anticipate encountering the following longest losing runs:
- Over the next month: At least one run of 5 losing tips.
- Over the next 3 months: At least one run of 6 losing tips.
- Over the next 6 months: At least one run of 7 losing tips.
Risk: HIGH
Macak11‘s performance is volatile and volatility means risk. The coefficient of variation figure is 4.28 which reflects how much volatility, or risk, is assumed in comparison to the amount of return expected from investments. The lower the ratio of the standard deviation to mean return, the better risk-return trade-off.
Value for Money: FAIR
The subscription cost is £29 per month so with an ROI of 11% this means each 1% of ROI costs £2.76 which is above the average £2.50 per 1% ROI.
Staking Levels: HIGH
£0.80 per point to cover subscription cost
Based on this 11% ROI from 1 tips a day at the average advised stakes of 10 points you’d need to be betting at £0.80 per point to cover the £29 subscription cost – that’s around £10 a day total stakes.
£4.50 per point to clear £100 profit
To make somewhere in the region of £100 clear profit a month, over and above the subscription cost, the staking levels would need to be around £4.50 per point. At this level you’d be betting in the region of £45 a day.
Expectancy
1 MONTH: If you’d followed Macak11 for 1 month at any time since the service started there was a 62% chance you’d make a profit. You were 2 times more likely to have made money than lost money in any one month and your profit would have been 1 times more than the amount you might have lost – an average of 84 points profit versus an average loss of -63 points.
2 MONTH: Following for 2 months at any time since the service started there was a 67% chance you’d make a profit. You were 2 times more likely to have made money than lost money in any two months and your profit would have been 1 times more than the amount you might have lost – an average of 144 points profit versus an average loss of -98 points.
3 MONTH: If you’d followed for 3 months at any time since the service started there was a 64% chance you’d make a profit. You were 2 times more likely to have made money than lost money in any 3 months and your profit would have been 2 times more than the amount you might have lost – an average of 223 points profit versus an average loss of -94 points.
| Consecutive Periods | Total Periods | Made Profit | Made Loss | %Profitable | Avg.Period Profit | Avg.Period Loss | Expectancy | Profit Factor |
| any 1 month | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 84 | -63 | 27 | 1 |
| any 2 months | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 144 | -98 | 63 | 1 |
| any 3 months | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 223 | -94 | 107 | 2 |
| any 4 months | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 295 | -122 | 128 | 2 |
| any 5 months | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 368 | -100 | 160 | 3 |
| any 6 months | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 313 | -142 | 199 | 2 |
You can find out more about Macak11 here
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