Lulas-BTTS’s tips have produced a very good 19% ROI over 5 total months of tips. He has had 5 profitable months out of 5 which is 100% success rate.
On average there’s 11 tips per day typically advised at 10 pt. which means, at £1 per point, you’d be betting around £110 per day.
5 / 5
Skill Factor: UNCERTAIN
The statistical p-value provides an indication of how likely a tipster’s results could be achieved purely by chance – have they just been lucky?
Lulas-BTTS’s p-value is 0.0000 (to 4 decimal places) – in other words there’s a 0.0000% probability these results are due to luck.
This suggests its extremely unlikely these results could be achieved by pure chance
There’s not sufficient data, however, to be confident about this conclusion.
Losing Streaks: SHORT
Over 5 months there have been 1963 tips. The Win Rate of these tips has been 44%. This gives a low ELLR (Estimated Longest Losing Run) figure of 14. In other words you should have been prepared for 14 losing tips in a row over that number of tips.
With the current ROI and number of tips per day you should prepare for encountering the following:
- Over the next month: At least one run of 11 losing tips.
- Over the next 3 months: At least one run of 13 losing tips.
- During the next 6 months: At least one run of 13 losing tips.
The finance industry uses a coefficient of variation calculation to measure how risky an investment is. In simple terms its the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean.
But in even simpler terms its looking at the monthly ROI figures – are they always about the same or do they vary a lot?
If they vary a lot that means performance is volatile and volatility means risk.The coefficent of variation puts a specific number to this risk so that you can compare investments for risk but you can get a sense of how risky/volatile a tipster is just by looking at how much the ROI changes month-on-month.
Lulas-BTTS‘s coefficient of variation figure is 0.49 indicating performance is stable and risk is low.
Value for Money: VERY GOOD
Lulas-BTTS’s overall ROI is 19%. The monthly subscription cost to get these tips is £29. This means that each 1% of ROI costs £1.54 which is around average value.
Remember, you can save some money by taking a 3-month or even 6-month subscription. The costs per month will be less and you can always cancel and get a refund should you wish.
Staking Levels: REASONABLE
Using the ROI figure together with the average number of tips per day and the average advised points per tip we can get a rough estimate of how much we need to betting to at least cover the monthly subscription cost.
£0.10 per point to cover subscription cost
Based on the 19% ROI from 11 tips a day at the average advised stakes of 10 points you’d need to be betting at £0.10 per point to cover the £29 subscription cost.
£0.30 per point to clear £100 profit
To make somewhere in the region of £100 clear profit a month, over and above the subscription cost, the staking levels would need to be around £0.30 per point. At this level you’d be betting in the region of £35 a day.
Betting Bank: 360pts
The size of Betting Bank required to adequately follow a tipster is based on a combination of the average stake size and the Estimated Longest Losing Run (ELLR) which, in turn, is based on the Win Rate of the tipster’s bets.
The formula used here to calculate the size of Betting Bank is: Betting Bank Size = 2.5 x ELLR x Average Bet Stake
This will enough to withstand a worst-case scenario of two (2) longest losing runs in quick sucession and still have something left (0.5) to continue betting.
The betting bank size for Lulas-BTTS would be 360 points.
So, if you were betting at £0.30/pt stakes aiming to make £100 clear profit the Betting Bank would be around £100.
1 MONTH: Every 1 month period since this service started has been profitable. If you’d joined and followed for 1 month you’d have made an average of 1844 points profit.
2 MONTH: Every 2 month period since this service started has been profitable. If you’d followed for 2 months you’d have made an average of 4328 points profit.
3 MONTH: Every 3 month period since this service started has been profitable. If you’d followed for 3 months you’d have made an average of 6609 points profit.
|Consecutive Periods||Total Periods||Made Profit||Made Loss||%Profitable||Avg.Period Profit||Avg.Period Loss||Expectancy||Profit Factor|
|any 1 month||5||5||0||100%||1844||0||1844||1844|
|any 2 months||4||4||0||100%||4328||0||4328||4328|
|any 3 months||3||3||0||100%||6609||0||6609||6609|
|any 4 months||2||2||0||100%||8657||0||8657||8657|
|any 5 months||1||1||0||100%||9223||0||9223||9223|
Find out more about Lulas-BTTS here
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