GV-early-alerts
ROI:
22%
PM:
14 / 27
Skill:
HIGH
ELLR:
48
Risk:
LOW
VfM:
VERY GOOD
Stks:
HIGH
Overview:
Professional Horse racing Tipster since 15th October 2019.
GV-early-alerts has produced an excellent 22.4% ROI with 14 profitable months from 27 total months tipping – a 52% success rate.
On average there are 3 tips per day typically advised at an average 10 points which means, at £1 per point, you’d be betting around £30 per day.
Skill Factor: HIGH
GV-early-alerts‘s statistical p-value is 0.0004 ( to 4 decimal places ). This indicates there’s a 0% probability these results could be achieved by pure chance.This figure is very low. There is strong evidence these results are being achived by skill.
Losing Streaks: VERY LONG
The all-time tip Win Rate has been 15% over 27 months and 2360 tips which gives a very high ELLR (Estimated Longest Losing Run) figure of 48 – you should be prepared for 48 losing tips in a row.
Based on this you should anticipate encountering the following longest losing runs:
- Over the next month: At least one run of 29 losing tips.
- Over the next 3 months: At least one run of 36 losing tips.
- Over the next 6 months: At least one run of 40 losing tips.
Risk: LOW
GV-early-alerts‘s performance is stable which means risk is low. The coefficient of variation figure is 0.00 which reflects how much volatility, or risk, is assumed in comparison to the amount of return expected from investments. The lower the ratio of the standard deviation to mean return, the better risk-return trade-off.
Value for Money: VERY GOOD
The subscription cost is £19 per month so with an ROI of 22% this means each 1% of ROI costs £0.85 which is great value.
Staking Levels: HIGH
£0.10 per point to cover subscription cost
Based on this 22% ROI from 3 tips a day at the average advised stakes of 10 points you’d need to be betting at £0.10 per point to cover the £19 subscription cost.
£0.30 per point to clear £100 profit
To make somewhere in the region of £100 clear profit a month, over and above the subscription cost, the staking levels would need to be around £1.00 per point. At this level you’d be betting in the region of £30 a day.
Expectancy
1 MONTH: If you’d followed GV-early-alerts for 1 month at any time since the service started there was a 52% chance you’d make a profit. You were 1 times more likely to have made money than lost money in any one month and your profit would have been 2 times more than the amount you might have lost – an average of 1006 points profit versus an average loss of -481 points.
2 MONTH: Following for 2 months at any time since the service started there was a 65% chance you’d make a profit. You were 2 times more likely to have made money than lost money in any two months and your profit would have been 1 times more than the amount you might have lost – an average of 1218 points profit versus an average loss of -841 points.
3 MONTH: If you’d followed for 3 months at any time since the service started there was a 80% chance you’d make a profit. You were 4 times more likely to have made money than lost money in any 3 months and your profit would have been 1 times more than the amount you might have lost – an average of 1374 points profit versus an average loss of -1476 points.
| Consecutive Periods | Total Periods | Made Profit | Made Loss | %Profitable | Avg.Period Profit | Avg.Period Loss | Expectancy | Profit Factor |
| any 1 month | 27 | 14 | 13 | 52% | 1006 | -481 | 290 | 2 |
| any 2 months | 26 | 17 | 9 | 65% | 1218 | -841 | 505 | 1 |
| any 3 months | 25 | 20 | 5 | 80% | 1374 | -1476 | 804 | 0 |
| any 4 months | 24 | 20 | 4 | 83% | 1676 | -1436 | 1157 | 1 |
| any 5 months | 23 | 19 | 4 | 83% | 2058 | -1008 | 1524 | 2 |
| any 6 months | 22 | 18 | 4 | 82% | 2528 | -853 | 1913 | 2 |
You can find out more about GV-early-alerts here
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