FOOTBALLER TIPS : 13% ROI from football tips and odds are easy to achieve •theBetInvestor

OVERVIEW :

Footballer-Tips has been providing Football tips since August 2020 producing a very good 13% ROI with 32 profitable months from 36 total months tipping ( 89% profitable ).

On average there’s 6 tips per day typically advised at 10 pt. which means, at £1 per point, you’d be betting around £60 per day.

Analysis of the results to date show at best there’s been a 100% probability of making a profit with Footballer-Tips over every 2 consecutive months.

Footballer-Tips

ROI:

13%

Profit Mths:

32 / 36

Expectancy:

2mth – 100%

Skill:

VERY HIGH

ELLR:

Risk:

LOW

Value:

GOOD

Stakes:

REASONABLE

Betting Bank:

230 points

Insights

Since joining Tipstrr 37 months ago in August 2020, Footballer Tips :

has made a total cumulative profit of £10,082 and an average monthly profit of £272.
Footballer Tips only provides Football tips.
leans toward the Both teams to score and Over/under – away team markets.
bookmakers of choice are Betfair and 888.
preferred leagues are Friendly Club Matches and Oberliga.
likes to tip at odds between 2.40 and 3.99.
typically uses a stake of 10/10.
usually posts their tips around 4AM – 8AM.
usually posts their tips around 6-12 hours before a fixture starts.
Footballer Tips’ longest unbroken profit streak was 17 months.

MORE INFORMATION

FULL STATISTICS

TIPSTER SKILL FACTOR : VERY HIGH

The statistical p-value provides an indication of how likely a tipster’s results could be achieved purely by chance – have they just been lucky?

Footballer-Tips’s p-value is 0.0000 (to 4 decimal places) – in other words there’s a 0% probability these results are due to luck.

This suggests its extremely unlikely these results could be achieved by pure chance.

LOSING STREAKS : VERY SHORT

How long will losing streaks be?

The all-time tip Win Rate has been 44% over the 36 months and 7445 tips.

If the Win Rate and numbers of tips is maintained you should anticipate encountering the following longest losing runs over the next periods of time:

Next month: At least one run of 9 losing tips.
In the next 3 months: At least one run of 11 losing tips.
During the next 6 months: At least one run of 13 losing tips.

TIPSTER RISK FACTOR : LOW

The finance industry uses a coefficient of variation calculation to measure how risky an investment is. In simple terms its the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean.

But in even simpler terms its looking at the monthly ROI figures – are they always about the same or do they vary a lot?

If they vary a lot that means performance is volatile and volatility means risk.The coefficent of variation puts a specific number to this risk so that you can compare investments for risk but you can get a sense of how risky/volatile a tipster is just by looking at how much the ROI changes month-on-month.

Footballer-Tips‘s coefficient of variation figure is 0.67 indicating performance is stable and risk is low.

VALUE FOR MONEY : GOOD

Does the subscription cost for this tipster represent value for money?

Footballer-Tips’s overall ROI is 13%. The monthly subscription cost to get these tips is £29. This means that each 1% of ROI costs £2.21 which is around average value.

BETTING STAKES : REASONABLE

How much am I likely to be betting every day?

£0.20 /pt. to cover subscription cost
Doing the calculations based on 13% ROI from 6 tips a day at the average advised stakes of 10.5 pt. you’d need to be betting at £0.20 per point just to cover the £29 subscription cost.

£0.60 /pt. to clear £100 profit
If you were looking to make somewhere in the region of £100 clear profit a month, over and above the subscription cost, the staking levels would need to be around £0.60 per point. This means betting in the region of £40 a day.

N.B. This is purely an indication of the scale of staking. Its never going to work out this way in real life – the ROI for the month will be different, the number of tips per day will be different and the advised points per tip might change.

BETTING BANK SIZE : 230pts

How much money do I need to start with?

The size of Betting Bank required to adequately follow a tipster is based on a combination of the average stake size and the Estimated Longest Losing Run (ELLR) which, in turn, is based on the Win Rate of the tipster’s bets.

The formula used here to calculate the size of Betting Bank is: Betting Bank Size = 2.5 x ELLR x Average Bet Stake

This will be enough to withstand a worst-case scenario of two (2) longest losing runs in quick sucession and still have something left (0.5) to continue betting.

The first month betting bank size for Footballer-Tips would be around 240 points.

So, if you were betting at £0.60/pt stakes aiming to make £100 clear profit the Betting Bank would be around £150.

EXPECTANCY : VERY GOOD

How long before I can expect to make profit?

1 MONTH: If you’d followed Footballer-Tips for 1 month at any time since the service started there was a 89% chance you’d make a profit. Looking at it another way you were 8 times more likely to have made money than lost money in any one month and your profit would have been 5 times more than the amount you might have lost – an average of 310 points profit versus an average loss of -60 points.

2 MONTH: Every consecutive 2 month period since this service started has been profitable and you would have made an average of 510 points profit.

3 MONTH: Every consecutive 3 month period since this service started has been profitable. If you’d followed for 3 consecutive months you’d have made an average of 740 points profit.

Consecutive Periods	Total	Made Profit	Made Loss	%Profitable	Avg.Profit	Avg.Loss	Expectancy	Profit Factor
any 1 month	36	32	4	89%	310	-60	268	5
any 2 months	35	35	0	100%	510	0	510	510
any 3 months	34	34	0	100%	740	0	740	740

ODDS AVAILABILITY : VERY GOOD

Will I be able to get the advised odds of the tips?

With Footballer Tips publishing tips 6 to 12 hours ahead of the event there’s plenty of time and opportunity to achieve the advised odds.

As an example during July 2023 there were 127 Both-Teams-To-Score (BTTS) tips – BTTS tips represent over 70% of all Footballer Tips’ tips, they bring in the bulk of the profit and have delivered an all-time 16% ROI.

There were 53 winning BTTS tips at an average winning odds of 3.02.

Bookmaker odds that were available at kick-off time for these 53 winners were:

worse than advised odds for 2 tips (average 89% of advised odds)
better than advised odds for 30 tips (average 109% of advised odds)
on average 103% of the advised odds.

For these BTTS tips there were 11 bookmakers used but only four were needed to cover 85% of the tips – Betfair 30%, Betvictor 27%, Unibet 22% and 888 6%.

Find out more about Footballer-Tips here