CHAMPIONSTIPS1 has been providing Horse racing tips since January 2021 with 15 profitable months from those 20 total months tipping – that’s 75% success rate.
The tips have produced an excellent 23% ROI.
On average there’s 3 tips per day typically advised at 5 pt. which means, at £1 per point, you’d be betting around £15 per day.
Analysis of the results to date show at best there’s been a 100% probability of making a profit with CHAMPIONSTIPS1 over every 4 consecutive months.
15 / 20
4mth – 100%
TIPSTER SKILL FACTOR : AVERAGE
The p-value, which gives a measure of how likely it is these results to be achieved purely by chance is 0.0093 ( to 4 decimal places ).
This indicates its extremely unlikely CHAMPIONSTIPS1’s results could be achieved by pure chance.
LOSING STREAKS : LONG
How long will losing streaks be?
The all-time tip Win Rate has been 20% over the 20 months and 2416 tips.
If the Win Rate and numbers of tips is maintained you should anticipate encountering the following longest losing runs over the next periods of time:
- Next month: At least one run of 22 losing tips.
- In the next 3 months: At least one run of 27 losing tips.
- During the next 6 months: At least one run of 30 losing tips.
TIPSTER RISK FACTOR : LOW
The finance industry uses a coefficient of variation calculation to measure how risky an investment is. In simple terms its the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean.
But in even simpler terms its looking at the monthly ROI figures – are they always about the same or do they vary a lot?
If they vary a lot that means performance is volatile and volatility means risk.
CHAMPIONSTIPS1‘s coefficient of variation figure is 1.44 indicating performance is stable and risk is low.
VALUE FOR MONEY : VERY GOOD
Does the subscription cost for this tipster represent value for money?
The monthly subscription cost is £29 which is reasonable. CHAMPIONSTIPS1’s overall ROI of 23% means that each 1% of ROI costs £1.24 which is good value.
Generally, subscriptions costs are typically less per month if you take a 3-month or even 6-month subscription and you can always cancel and get a refund should things not go the way you hoped.
BETTING STAKES : REASONABLE
How much am I likely to be betting every day?
Using the ROI figure together with the average number of tips per day and the average advised points per tip we can get a rough estimate of how much we need to betting to at least cover the monthly subscription cost.
£0.30 per point to cover subscription cost
Based on the 23% ROI from 3 tips a day at the average advised stakes of 5 points you’d need to be betting at £0.30 per point to cover the £29 subscription cost.
£1.30 per point to clear £100 profit
To make somewhere in the region of £100 clear profit a month, over and above the subscription cost, the staking levels would need to be around £1.30 per point. At this level you’d be betting in the region of £20 a day.
N.B. This is purely an indication of the scale of staking. Its never going to work out this way in real life – the ROI for the month will be different, the number of tips per day will be different and the advised points per tip can change.
BETTING BANK SIZE : 280pts
How much money do I need to start with?
The size of Betting Bank required to adequately follow a tipster is based on a combination of the average stake size and the Estimated Longest Losing Run (ELLR) which, in turn, is based on the Win Rate of the tipster’s bets.
The formula used here to calculate the size of Betting Bank is: Betting Bank Size = 2.5 x ELLR x Average Bet Stake
This will be enough to withstand a worst-case scenario of two (2) longest losing runs in quick sucession and still have something left (0.5) to continue betting.
The first month betting bank size for CHAMPIONSTIPS1 would be around 280 points.
So, if you were betting at £1.30/pt stakes aiming to make £100 clear profit the Betting Bank would be around £350.
EXPECTANCY : AVERAGE
How long before I can expect to make profit?
1 MONTH: If you’d followed CHAMPIONSTIPS1 for 1 month at any time since the service started there was a 75% chance you’d make a profit. Looking at it another way you were 3 times more likely to have made money than lost money in any one month and your profit would have been 3 times more than the amount you might have lost – an average of 1760 points profit versus an average loss of -650 points.
2 MONTH: Following for 2 consecutive months at any time since the service started there was a 84% chance you’d make a profit. You were 5 times more likely to have made money than lost money in those two months and your profit would have been 8 times more than the amount you might have lost – an average of 2900 points profit versus an average loss of -360 points.
3 MONTH: If you’d followed for 3 consecutive months at any time since the service started there was a 94% chance you’d make a profit. You were 17 times more likely to have made money than lost money and your profit would have been 9 times more than the amount you might have lost – an average of 3790 points profit versus an average loss of -420 points.
|Consecutive Periods||Total||Made Profit||Made Loss||%Profitable||Avg.Profit||Avg.Loss||Expectancy||Profit Factor|
|any 1 month||20||15||5||75%||1760||-650||1157||2|
|any 2 months||19||16||3||84%||2900||-360||2385||8|
|any 3 months||18||17||1||94%||3790||-420||3556||9|
|any 4 months||17||17||0||100%||4730||0||4730||4730|
|any 5 months||16||16||0||100%||6000||0||6000||6000|
|any 6 months||15||15||0||100%||6950||0||6950||6950|
Find out more about CHAMPIONSTIPS1 here
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