Portfolio B : Low Risk / Low Reward

A 2-tipster 2-sport portfolio producing £60 clear profit/month

PORTFOLIO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED

UPDATE JUNE 2020: This portfolio was discontinued as both tipsters suffered a downturn around this time.
I will, however, replace it with a more flexible Low risk/Low reward portfolio with tipsters being monitored and changed when necessary to provide the best performance.

This small portfolio of just 2 tipsters combines two of the best performing tipsters over the past 12 months.

It should appeal to the risk-averse investor and aims to keep risk and losing runs to a minimum while still providing an acceptable level of profit.

With only two tipsters covering only two sports – football and basketball – the diversification is minimal. However, it is the consistency of these tipsters that is key in this portfolio.

The portfolio subscription cost is reasonable at £61/mth based on 3-month subscriptions or £88/mth on a monthly subscription basis.

Tipster Cost/mth (*) Tips/day Profit/mth **
Basket Tipster £29 (£23) 2 £48
Sports Insider £49 (£38) 2 £72
Totals £78 (£61) 4 £120
* Figure in brackets is cost per month based on a 3-month subscription
** Profit/mth figure is average per month over 11 months to Jan’20 

On average there are only 4 to 5 tips per day which will not keep you tied to the computer or your phone. And the daily stake outlay of 40 – 50 points can keep the daily stake outlay fairly low.

The combined weighted average Win Rate of this portfolio is 59% This indicates an Estimated Longest Losing Run of 9 (nine losing bets in a row) and suggests a Betting Bank of 270 units (3 x 9 x 10 units) or somewhere in the range of 250 – 300 units.

With percentage-of-bank staking and using 3% of bank stakes the betting bank can withstand 18 losing bets – that’s two longest losing runs in a row – and still have almost half of the bank intact to continue. Staking at 4% of bank (without re-adjusting for changes in the bank) would leave a quarter of the betting bank intact after suffering two longest runs in a row.

The following table compares the profit and Return On Capital (ROC) for three staking scenarios based on the 11 months to Jan’20.

Profit (units) ROC
Fixed 10 point stakes 1,315 526%
3% of bank stakes 5,974 2289%
4% of bank stakes 14,011 5504%

Recent Portfolio Performance

 


 

Find out more about

Sports Insider Basket Tipster

If you can tolerate a little more risk you can see a slightly more diversified portfolio producing £200 profit/month here.

Rob

Rob

I'm Rob, I have an M.Sc. In Mathematics and Computer Science and I am the creator & writer of TheBetInvestor. I provide honest independent assessments of sports tipsters based on statistical and financial investment analysis. My aim is to find profitable tipsters and help you safely navigate the murky waters of the online sports tips world.

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