A 2-tipster 2-sport portfolio producing £60 clear profit/month
PORTFOLIO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED
UPDATE JUNE 2020: This portfolio was discontinued as both tipsters suffered a downturn around this time.
I will, however, replace it with a more flexible Low risk/Low reward portfolio with tipsters being monitored and changed when necessary to provide the best performance.
This small portfolio of just 2 tipsters combines two of the best performing tipsters over the past 12 months.
It should appeal to the risk-averse investor and aims to keep risk and losing runs to a minimum while still providing an acceptable level of profit.
With only two tipsters covering only two sports – football and basketball – the diversification is minimal. However, it is the consistency of these tipsters that is key in this portfolio.
The portfolio subscription cost is reasonable at £61/mth based on 3-month subscriptions or £88/mth on a monthly subscription basis.
|Tipster||Cost/mth (*)||Tips/day||Profit/mth **|
|Basket Tipster||£29 (£23)||2||£48|
|Sports Insider||£49 (£38)||2||£72|
|* Figure in brackets is cost per month based on a 3-month subscription
** Profit/mth figure is average per month over 11 months to Jan’20
On average there are only 4 to 5 tips per day which will not keep you tied to the computer or your phone. And the daily stake outlay of 40 – 50 points can keep the daily stake outlay fairly low.
The combined weighted average Win Rate of this portfolio is 59% This indicates an Estimated Longest Losing Run of 9 (nine losing bets in a row) and suggests a Betting Bank of 270 units (3 x 9 x 10 units) or somewhere in the range of 250 – 300 units.
With percentage-of-bank staking and using 3% of bank stakes the betting bank can withstand 18 losing bets – that’s two longest losing runs in a row – and still have almost half of the bank intact to continue. Staking at 4% of bank (without re-adjusting for changes in the bank) would leave a quarter of the betting bank intact after suffering two longest runs in a row.
The following table compares the profit and Return On Capital (ROC) for three staking scenarios based on the 11 months to Jan’20.
|Fixed 10 point stakes||1,315||526%|
|3% of bank stakes||5,974||2289%|
|4% of bank stakes||14,011||5504%|
If you can tolerate a little more risk you can see a slightly more diversified portfolio producing £200 profit/month here.