March 2019
In this companion post to the Top 5 Tipstrr Tipsters I apply the same scientific analysis and to find Bettinggods’ best-of-the-best Top 5 tipsters.
The critical tests
Test 1: Skill and Expertise. Applying the t-test
Test 2: Short Losing Runs. Calculating a tipsters Estimated Longest Losing Run
Test 3: Long-term Success. Consistent profits over a longer period of time
Top Tipsters
3 Master Racing Tipster
5 Each Way Leader
The Results
| RANK | Tipster | ROI | p-value | ELLR | Total Mths |
Winning Mths
|
| 1 | US Sports Capper | 41.32% | 0.07% | 10 | 8 | 5 |
| 2 | Quentin Franks Racing | 21.04% | 0.00% | 33 | 15 | 11 |
| 3 | Master Racing Tipster | 22.02% | 0.00% | 24 | 15 | 8 |
| 4 | QF Value Tips | 17.68% | 0.04% | 27 | 15 | 8 |
| 5 | Each Way Leader | 26.40% | 2.34% | 14 | 15 | 9 |
| 6 | The Bookies Enemy | 23.47% | 1.02% | 36 | 15 | 8 |
| 7 | Top NHL Tips | 5.12% | 1.22% | 10 | 10 | 6 |
| 8 | The Boxing Betting Tipster | 11.43% | 2.28% | 16 | 15 | 6 |
| 9 | Flat Racing Master | 11.96% | 2.99% | 26 | 15 | 9 |
| 10 | Ultimate Football Tips | 13.76% | 3.83% | 11 | 11 | 8 |
| 11 | Cricket Betting Tipster | 19.21% | 4.70% | 23 | 13 | 8 |
| 12 | Premier Greyhound Tips | 11.41% | 7.69% | 25 | 15 | 10 |
| 13 | Golf Betting Expert | 30.69% | 12.45% | 76 | 15 | 6 |
| 14 | Phoenix Racing | 15.96% | 17.37% | 53 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | Each Way Expert | 8.94% | 22.40% | 14 | 7 | 6 |
| 16 | Football Acca Tipster | 6.69% | 29.56% | 9 | 6 | 5 |
| 17 | Top Football Tipster | 5.05% | n/a* | 6 | 7 | 6 |
* Top Football Tipster had a negative level-stakes ROI over the period which invalidated the p-value calculation.
Bank Growth
Here’s what the comparative performance of each of these tipsters look like since January 2018.
Note: The US Sports Capper service was not launched until September 2018
1 US Sports Capper
US Sports Capper has only been going for 7 months since September 2018 but the 41% ROI combined with an excellent p-value and relatively low Estimated Longest Losing Run (ELLR) makes it my top pick. It is the second highest bank growth but has worryingly hit a bit of a plateau over the past few months.
2 Quentin Franks Racing
One of the longest running tipsters on Bettinggods Quentin Franks Racing has been going since July 2014 – almost 5 years. The commitment and continued success of this tipster service is outstanding. ROI is very good, p-value is excellent and 11 winning months from 15 are all positives but it is the ELLR of 33 which drops it to second spot.
3 Master Racing Tipster
Also going since 2014, Master Racing Tipster has a similar profile to Quentin Franks Racing. The ELLR of 24 while, in my book, still very high, is significantly smaller than Quentin Franks. He has only produced 8 winning months from 15 but delivered a slightly better ROI than Quentin Franks.
4 QF Value Tips
QF Value Tips, which one might assume the “QF” stands form Quentin Franks, has the lowest ROI of this group and a high ELLR but has the p-value of under 0.1% indicates the 17% ROI is not due to luck.
5 Each Way Leader
Each Way Leader was chosen over The Bookies Enemy because in my opinion the substantially lower ELLR combined with a higher ROI more than compensated for the higher p-value.
Conclusion
I hope this analysis provides some insight in to how to select a sports tipster. My analysis and assessment process has been just that – mine. You may have a different and indeed better approach. I wish you all success in making profit from sports betting.