After a bit of a roller-coaster few weeks with the Against-the-Odds system I thought a quick review would be in order.
The system started out 7 weeks ago and then included only Over 2.5 Goals predictions. It was going pretty well. This was changed on week 3 to include Under 2.5 goals predictions.
ATO System Performance after 7 weeks
The performance graph so far looks like this.
System Performance Overs and Unders
A three-week period of good profits followed by a decline starting week 4 that has only recently picked up in week 7.
So what caused that decline?
Separating the Overs 2.5 Goals selections and Unders shows a marked difference in performance.
And it was clearly the Under 2.5 Goals selections that caused those loses.
Looking at the just the Over 2.5 Goals selections the performance looks like this.
Apart from a small loss in week 6 it shows a nice steady upward trend in profits week on week.
System Performance Overs Only
On the other hand the Unders performance is dramatically different.
The first week of including Unders (week 3) saw them deliver a nice profit but the following three weeks was the opposite story. Three weeks of loses.
System Performance Unders only
Exclude Under 2.5 Goals Selections?
To exclude the Under 2.5 Goals predictions after such a short period would be short-sighted. All sports prediction systems and methods experience short-term ups and downs. Some overcome the set-backs others don’t and never recover.
So I will keep the Unders for now and monitor the situation.
However, because the Over 2.5 Goals predictions seem to perform better I am increasing their bet stake from 1 point to 2 points. If the Unders continue to perform poorly then they will have less effect on overall profits. If they turn-around and improve then that will increase profits even more.
Applying this 1-point-Unders-2-point-Overs staking plan to the results so far gives a better performance profile. A loss in week 6 yes but a return to that nice steady upward trend in profits.
System Performance Under & Overs with Different Stakes
What next for the Future?
Seven weeks is no time at all to tell if a system or method works. So I’m keeping an open mind on this one.
If you follow my blog you’ll be watching the development of this system in real-time. The trials and tribulations, the analyses and tweaks, the hair loss and lost sleep. But maybe, just maybe, this time next year Rodney…