Many thanks to Tipstrr Correspondent for his top tipsters list in Tipstrr Tipsters of the Month Jun 2020.
I’ve done a quick snapshot analysis of each of his top 10 to see if there are any possible candidates worthy of further investigation.
I’ll explain the contents of the analysis table for 10th spot Thoroughbred so that you can understand the others more readily.
It’s pleasing to see two tipsters, SVB Tips and Wannawin BM, who made it into the June Top 10 list are already on my Best Tipsters List.
And yes there is one tipster on this Top10 list I’ll be doing an in-depth analysis of in the very near future. Read on to find out who.
The top 10 countdown for June 2020
10th Thoroughbred – 73 tips, 30.6% ROI
Profit: £446.47 to £20 average stake
| Overall | 12mth | 6mth | 3mth | |
| ROI | 9% | – | 9% | 16% |
| Risk | High | – | Medium | Medium |
| P-value | V.Poor | – | – | Improved |
| Win/Lose Mths | 3 / 3 | – | 3 / 3 | 1 / 2 |
The table shows 4 elements of the tipster’s performance over different time spans – all-time, previous 12 months, previous 6 months, and the most recent 3 months.
ROI: Thoroughbred’s ROI overall is 9% but has been 16% over the last 3 months from Apr – Jun’20. There is no figure for the 12 months periods since this tipster has only been running for 6 months.
Risk: The risk is gauged from the variance of ROI over the period. As you can see Thoroughbred is a high-risk tipster overall but the risk has reduced to medium over both the last 3 and last 6 months time spans.
P-value: The p_value indicates if the ROI being produced by the tipster could be achieved simply by chance. While Thoroughbred’s p-value has improved over the last 3-month period it is very poor. There is no evidence to suggest the profit being produced here is anything more than chance.
Win/Lose Mths: The Win/Lose months figure shows overall there have been 3 winning months and 3 losing months in the 6 months of tipping. In the most recent 3 months there has been only 1 winning month.
Overall: high risk, poor p-value and too many losing months – no further investigation
9th AG Tips – 79 tips, 33.2% ROI ?
Profit: £523.94 to £20 average stakes
| Overall | 12mth | 6mth | 3mth | |
| ROI | 22% | 22% | -4% | 40% |
| Risk | High | High | Low | Medium |
| P-value | V.Poor | Improved | Worsened | Improved |
| Win/Lose Mths | 9 / 2 | – | 4 / 2 | 2 / 1 |
Overall: high risk, very poor p-value, the most recent 3 months performance might be a flash-in-the-pan – no further investigation
8th The Strict Rule System – 24 tips, 80.9% ROI
Profit: £388.13 to £20 average stake
| Overall | 12mth | 6mth | 3mth | |
| ROI | 14% | 11% | 5% | 26% |
| Risk | High | High | V.High | Medium |
| P-value | Poor | Improved | Improved | Improved |
| Win/Lose Mths | 23 / 13 | 8 / 4 | 3 / 3 | 1 / 2 |
Overall: high risk, poor p-value and just too many losing months – no further investigation
7th Flying Horse Stars – 25 tips, 230.5% ROI
Profit: £1152.50 to £20 average stake
| Overall | 12mth | 6mth | 3mth | |
| ROI | 9% | 8% | 16% | 33% |
| Risk | V.High | V.High | High | Medium |
| P-value | V.Poor | Improved | Improved | Improved |
| Win/Lose Mths | 13 / 7 | 7 / 5 | 3 / 3 | 1 / 2 |
Overall: very high risk, very poor p-value and too many losing months – this looks like a brief success – no further investigation
6th SVB Tips – 215tips, 34.8% ROI
Profit: £1495.60 to £20 average stake
| Overall | 12mth | 6mth | 3mth | |
| ROI | 14% | 15% | 14% | 21% |
| Risk | Low | Low | Low | Low |
| P-value | V.Good | Improved | Improved | Improved |
| Win/Lose Mths | 15 / 3 | 9 / 3 | 5 / 1 | 2 / 1 |
Overall: SVB Tips is already in my Top Tipsters List
5th Longshooter – 96 tips, 46.2% ROI
Profit: £886.45 to £20 average stakes
| Overall | 12mth | 6mth | 3mth | |
| ROI | 21% | 21% | 25% | 33% |
| Risk | Low | Low | Low | Low |
| P-value | Good | Improved | Improved | Improved |
| Win/Lose Mths | 10 / 1 | 10 / 1 | 6 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Overall: The indicators here are very positive. A very good ROI with low risk and a good p-value that looks like it might improve even further. Combined with the very few losing months this one is shouting out to be investigated further.
4th Talo Bets – 61 tips, 62.7% ROI
Profit: £764.75 to £20 average stake
| Overall | 12mth | 6mth | 3mth | |
| ROI | 28% | – | – | 26% |
| Risk | Medium | Medium | Medium | Medium |
| P-value | Poor | – | – | Improved |
| Win/Lose Mths | 4 / 1 | 4 / 1 | 4 / 1 | 2 / 1 |
Overall: medium risk with an ROI of 28% is OK but Talo Bets needs more months results under his belt so see if the poor p-value can be adequately improved – no further investigation at this time
3rd Wannawin BM – 114 tips, 74.0% ROI
Profit: £1716.76 to £20 average stake
| Overall | 12mth | 6mth | 3mth | |
| ROI | 20% | 17% | 14% | 46% |
| Risk | Medium | Medium | Medium | Low |
| P-value | Good | Improved | Improved | Improved |
| Win/Lose Mths | 12 / 2 | 10 / 2 | 4 / 2 | 2 / 1 |
Overall: Wannawin BM is already in my Top Tipsters List
2nd Quasi’s Hunches – 77 tips, 82.5% ROI
Profit: £1270.17 to £20 average stake
| Overall | 12mth | 6mth | 3mth | |
| ROI | 14% | 17% | 29% | 23% |
| Risk | V.High | High | High | High |
| P-value | V.Poor | Improved | Improved | Improved |
| Win/Lose Mths | 17 / 12 | 6 / 6 | 3 / 3 | 2 / 1 |
Overall: very high risk, very poor p-value and simply too many losing months – no further investigation
1st Top Rated Value – 77 tips, 88.5% ROI
Profit: £1363.00 to £20 average stake
| Overall | 12mth | 6mth | 3mth | |
| ROI | 20% | 17% | 18% | 69% |
| Risk | Medium | Medium | Medium | Low |
| P-value | Good | Improved | Improved | Improved |
| Win/Lose Mths | 14 / 7 | 7 / 5 | 2 / 4 | 2 / 1 |
Overall: Having a great revival over the last 3 months but there are just too many losing months to counter the good p-value – no further investigation
Conclusion
The snapshot indicators for Longshooter are all very positive.
These horse racing tips are sent out between 7-11pm the evening before the event which makes this a good set-and-forget service.
Most bets are each-way on longer-priced runners and all stakes are flat-rate so you can bet with whatever you are comfortable with.
The tips are producing a very good ROI with low risk and the already good p-value looks like it might improve even further.
This one is shouting out to be investigated further and a prime candidate for the Top Tipsters List.