Sports Insider : football tips delivering consistent profits

Sports & Markets

Sports Insider is a multi-sport tipster. His main focus is football (soccer) where he is most successful but he also dabbles in ice hockey, handball and basketball.

Betting markets covered in the tips are predominantly 1X2 (Home win / Draw / Away WIn), Asian Handicap, Draw No Bet and Double Chance.

Tipping & Betting Profile

This tipster publishes an average of 15 – 20 tips per week so you can expect an average of 2 to 3 tips per day.  With most football being played at weekends, I expected Friday through Sunday to be busier betting days but analysing the tips history does not bear this out.

Apart from a very few exceptions, his advised staking plan is level-stakes with each tip having an advised stake of 10 points. At 3 tips per day, this would mean a typical outlay of 30 points in bets on an average day. At £1 per point stakes, this would equate to £30 of bets on an average day. With current performance, this could produce an average £165 profit per month or £116 nett profit after paying the £49 monthly subscription cost.

Stretching to £10 per point stakes is probably too rich for most people but could net you a theoretical £1,650 profit each month for an outlay of £300 of bets each day.

Follower Involvement

Sports Insider is not a set-and-forget type tipster where you can place all your bets for the day in one go and then get on with the rest of your day. Although most are published between 8am and 12pm tips are published right across the 24 hours.

This has implications for emulating the success of this tipster.

You will need to be able to place bets anytime anywhere. If you miss tip notifications early-morning or late at night you’re probably not going to get as good odds as the tipster and this will affect your profits.

Established

Sports Insider has been in operation for 11 months since August 2018 and in that time has published almost 1000 tips and produced 10 profitable months out of 11. This is a solid long-term performance and provides ample data to perform reliable statistical analysis.

Return On Investment (ROI)

Sports Insider has a very healthy average ROI of 18%. to advised stakes. Interestingly, this ROI figure rises to 22% for his football tips alone which for football tipsters is excellent. It doesn’t match the 25% to 35% ROI figures that racing tipsters can achieve but then racing tipsters tend to be a more risky investment.

Over the 11 months, ROI has ranged from a high of 37.9% in his very first month of operation to a low of -3.4% in December 2018.

Estimated Longest Losing Run (ELLR)

Losing runs are a big part of betting and depending upon your Strike Rate they could be very long indeed. Knowing the Strike Rate (Win Rate) it is possible using statistical mathematics to estimate the Longest Losing Run (ELLR).  But it is an ‘estimate’.  It is not absolutely accurate nor guaranteed. But knowing it will prepare you for those loses both psychologically and financially.

Sports Insider’s ELLR currently stands at 8.  This means you should anticipate having 8 losing bets in a row.  Compared with some other tipsters, particularly racing tipsters this is a small number.

Taking a broader view on losing runs, with an average of 3 tips per day, this could mean you could have 3 losing days in a row.

Skillful or Lucky (P-VALUE)

Sports Insider an excellent p-value of practically zero. In fact, you have to go to seven decimal places to get any figure at all.

This indicates that there is extremely strong evidence that the ROI being delivered by this tipster is not the result of chance alone but more likely due to skill.

Betting Bank Required

The worst-case scenario that you should plan for is that as soon as you join this tipster they suffer their longest losing run followed by one winner followed by another longest losing run. And then you still need something left in your betting bank to effectively start all over.

An ELLR of 8 suggests your betting bank should be able to cover 16 losing bets (2 x 8) and still have some money left to keep betting.

A sensible figure for a betting bank might, therefore, be three times the ELLR multiplied by the stake points.

Sports Insider advised stakes are 10 points per tip. This would suggest a betting bank of 160 points to cover the worst-case-scenario loses PLUS perhaps 80 points left to start again.  At £1 per point stakes, this would set your starting betting bank at £240 which is comparatively low compared with other tipsters with much lower Strike Rates.

Risk/Reward

The more a tipsters ROI varies month-by-month from the average ROI, the more volatile or risky the tipster is. This risk is balanced against the tipsters ROI which is the reward we are hoping to get.

Dividing the risk figure by the reward figure gives us a Risk/Reward factor that we can use to compare tipsters. The combination of low risk and high reward is the ideal situation we are looking for so the smaller the Risk/Reward value is the better.

Sports Insider’s Risk/Reward figure is 0.54 and is the lowest Risk/Reward figure of all the Tipstrr PRO tipsters which range from 0.54 to 5.30.

This low Risk/Reward figure is a further indication of the quality of this tipsters service.

Value for Money (VfM)

Subscription fees for tipsters can vary widely as can their ROI figures. This indicator reflects how much each single percentage point of ROI costs in money terms.

Sports Insider’s monthly subscription costs £49. His average ROI is 18%. Therefore you are paying £2.60 for each percentage point of ROI. This is slightly above the average £2.10 of all Tipstrr PRO tipsters.

Conclusion

Sports Insider is a 5-star tipster displaying all the key characteristics you would hope for in a tipster.

A value-for-money service with short losing runs providing a good ROI backed up with a solid history of consistently delivering profits.

But this is not a set-and-forget service. You will need to be involved in placing bets at any time during the day. For some, this may be an issue. Others will see it as part of the excitement and fun of betting anyway. And making a good amount of profit at the same time well isn’t that like icing on the cake?

Find out more about Sports Insider.